Doma United
vs
Ikorodu City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Doma United
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.87.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Doma United vs Ikorodu City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Doma United vs Ikorodu City
| Probability | Doma United | Draw | Ikorodu City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.5% | 24.9% | 16.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 58.5% | 24.9% | 16.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Doma United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.87.
Doma United vs Ikorodu City match preview
Doma United is favored to win against Ikorodu City with a 60% probability, while a draw stands at 25% and Ikorodu City at 15%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 12% chance. Doma United's expected goals are 1.80, compared to Ikorodu City's 0.81, indicating a stronger offensive outlook for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Doma United has recorded a sequence of results with two draws, one win, and three losses, while Ikorodu City has experienced one win, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals sit at 48%, and both teams scoring is projected at 47%, reflecting a potentially tight contest. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Doma United and Ikorodu City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Doma United and Ikorodu City attack and defence ratings
Doma United
Ikorodu City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance
- Plateau United vs Warri Wolves — team news & stats
- Rivers United vs Enugu Rangers
- Shooting Stars v Abia Warriors — match page
Before and after this match
Doma United vs Ikorodu City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doma United | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doma United | 58.5% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Ikorodu City | 16.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Doma United win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 41.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
Doma United vs Ikorodu City stats
Doma United and Ikorodu City recent form
| Doma United |
DLWLDL |
| Ikorodu City |
DLWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Doma United and Ikorodu City season so far
Doma United record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ikorodu City record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.