Plateau United
vs
Warri Wolves
Garuda Lions Prediction: Plateau United
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.50.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Plateau United vs Warri Wolves overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Plateau United vs Warri Wolves
| Probability | Plateau United | Draw | Warri Wolves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.8% | 26.0% | 10.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 63.8% | 26.0% | 10.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Plateau United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.50.
Plateau United vs Warri Wolves match preview
Plateau United hosts Warri Wolves in the Nigeria Premier Football League with a favorable outlook for the home side. According to our model, Plateau United has a 65% probability of winning, while Warri Wolves stands at 11%. The expected goals for Plateau United is 1.73 compared to Warri Wolves' 0.56, suggesting a potential advantage in offensive performance.
Recent form indicates Plateau United has had mixed results with two draws and two wins in their last six matches, while Warri Wolves has also shown inconsistency with two wins and two losses. The most likely scoreline projected by our model is 1-0 in favor of Plateau United, with a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Plateau United and Warri Wolves expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
Plateau United and Warri Wolves attack and defence ratings
Plateau United
Warri Wolves
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Doma United v Ikorodu City — match page
- Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees
- Kano Pillars v Nasarawa United — match page
- Katsina United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance
- Rivers United vs Enugu Rangers
- Shooting Stars v Abia Warriors — match page
Before and after this match
Plateau United vs Warri Wolves markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plateau United | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plateau United | 63.8% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Warri Wolves | 10.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.5% |
| No | 67.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Plateau United win | 36.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.5% | |
| Loss | 36.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.5% |
| 2-0 | 15.7% | |
| 0-0 | 13.1% |
Plateau United vs Warri Wolves stats
Plateau United and Warri Wolves recent form
| Plateau United |
DLWLWD |
| Warri Wolves |
DDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Plateau United and Warri Wolves season so far
Plateau United record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Warri Wolves record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Plateau United vs Warri Wolves head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Warri Wolves | Plateau United | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Plateau United | Warri Wolves | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.