Katsina United
vs
Plateau United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Katsina United
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.09.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Katsina United vs Plateau United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Katsina United vs Plateau United
| Probability | Katsina United | Draw | Plateau United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.0% | 24.9% | 21.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.0% | 24.9% | 21.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Katsina United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.09.
Katsina United vs Plateau United match preview
Katsina United hosts Plateau United in a match where the probabilities suggest a favorable outcome for the home side, with a 54% chance of victory compared to Plateau United's 21%. The expected goals indicate a strong attacking performance from Katsina United at 1.84, while Plateau United is projected to score 1.09. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Katsina United, with a 10% probability.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Katsina United recording one win in their last six matches, while Plateau United has secured three wins in their last six. The head-to-head record in the last 10 encounters is balanced, with both teams having four wins each and two draws. The model also indicates a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Katsina United and Plateau United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Katsina United and Plateau United attack and defence ratings
Katsina United
Plateau United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Katsina United vs Plateau United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Katsina United | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Katsina United | 54.0% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Plateau United | 21.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Katsina United win | 31.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 46.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.1% |
Katsina United vs Plateau United stats
Katsina United and Plateau United recent form
| Katsina United |
LWDDWL |
| Plateau United |
LWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Katsina United and Plateau United season so far
Katsina United record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Plateau United record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Katsina United vs Plateau United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Katsina United | Plateau United | Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Plateau United | Katsina United | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-30 | Katsina United | Plateau United | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 | Plateau United | Katsina United | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-17 | Katsina United | Plateau United | NPFL | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-01 | Plateau United | Katsina United | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2022-07-10 | Katsina United | Plateau United | NPFL | 2-0 |
| 2022-03-06 | Plateau United | Katsina United | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2021-06-09 | Plateau United | Katsina United | NPFL | 2-0 |
| 2021-01-23 | Katsina United | Plateau United | NPFL | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.