Plateau United
vs
Sporting Lagos
2 – 3 Full time
| 10′ | A. Baba | ||
| 34′ | V. Dawa | ||
| 45′ | V. Dawa | ||
| 53′ | V. Samuel | ||
| 83′ | A. J. Adeede |
Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos
| Probability | Plateau United | Draw | Sporting Lagos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.6% | 20.8% | 9.5% |
| Market | 60.1% | 25.0% | 14.9% |
| Final | 62.5% | 24.0% | 13.6% |
| Edge | +2.4% | -1.0% | -1.3% |
Why Plateau United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Plateau United below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Plateau United and Sporting Lagos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Plateau United and Sporting Lagos attack and defence ratings
Plateau United
Sporting Lagos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos: result vs prediction
Plateau United 2 – 3 Sporting Lagos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Abia Warriors
- Enyimba vs Warri Wolves
- Inter Lagos v Nasarawa United — match page
- Kano Pillars vs Katsina United — team news & stats
- Niger Tornadoes v Ikorodu City — match page
- Rivers United v Barau FC — match page
Before and after this match
Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plateau United | 62.5% | 1.60 | +2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Plateau United win | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plateau United | 62.5% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Sporting Lagos | 13.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.0% |
| No | 58.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Plateau United win | 45.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 30.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-1 | 9.8% |
Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos stats
Plateau United and Sporting Lagos recent form
| Plateau United |
WLWDWD |
| Sporting Lagos |
WDDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Plateau United and Sporting Lagos going into this match
Plateau United record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Sporting Lagos record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-12 | Sporting Lagos | Plateau United | NPFL | 1-2 |
| 2023-12-28 | Plateau United | Sporting Lagos | NPFL | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.1%, draw 25.0%, away 14.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 3.58 | 6.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 3.58 | 6.00 |