Plateau United
vs
Sporting Lagos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Plateau United
2 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos
| Probability | Plateau United | Draw | Sporting Lagos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.7% | 20.8% | 9.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 69.7% | 20.8% | 9.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Plateau United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos match preview
Plateau United is favored in their upcoming match against Sporting Lagos, with a 70% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0, occurring with a 14% likelihood. Plateau United has shown solid recent form, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Sporting Lagos has had a mixed performance, recording two wins, three draws, and one loss.
Expected goals indicate a significant disparity, with Plateau United at 2.05 and Sporting Lagos at 0.64. The model suggests a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Plateau United and Sporting Lagos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Plateau United and Sporting Lagos attack and defence ratings
Plateau United
Sporting Lagos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Enyimba vs Warri Wolves
- Inter Lagos v Nasarawa United — match page
- Kano Pillars vs Katsina United — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Abia Warriors
- Niger Tornadoes v Ikorodu City — match page
- Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance
- Rivers United v Barau FC — match page
Before and after this match
Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plateau United | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Plateau United win | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plateau United | 69.7% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Sporting Lagos | 9.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.9% |
| No | 58.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Plateau United win | 45.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 30.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 13.1% | |
| 3-0 | 9.8% |
Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos stats
Plateau United and Sporting Lagos recent form
| Plateau United |
WLWDWD |
| Sporting Lagos |
WDDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Plateau United and Sporting Lagos season so far
Plateau United record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Sporting Lagos record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.