Inter Lagos
vs
Nasarawa United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter Lagos
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United
| Probability | Inter Lagos | Draw | Nasarawa United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 34.0% | 24.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.1% | 34.0% | 24.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Inter Lagos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.10 vs 0.80.
Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United match preview
Inter Lagos faces Nasarawa United in the Nigeria Premier Football League, with kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. According to our model, Inter Lagos has a 41% chance of winning, while a draw is estimated at 34%, and Nasarawa United at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Inter Lagos, with a probability of 15%. Expected goals are 1.10 for Inter Lagos and 0.80 for Nasarawa United.
In terms of recent form, Inter Lagos has recorded a sequence of L-D-L-D-W-L, while Nasarawa United's recent results show W-D-W-L-D-L. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 29%, and both teams scoring is projected at 38%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter Lagos and Nasarawa United expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.89
Inter Lagos and Nasarawa United attack and defence ratings
Inter Lagos
Nasarawa United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Doma United vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Enyimba vs Warri Wolves
- Kano Pillars vs Katsina United — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Abia Warriors
- Niger Tornadoes v Ikorodu City — match page
- Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance
- Rivers United v Barau FC — match page
Before and after this match
Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Lagos | 41.1% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Lagos | 41.1% |
| Draw | 34.0% | |
| Nasarawa United | 24.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.9% |
| No | 62.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Lagos win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.4% |
| 1-0 | 15.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United stats
Inter Lagos and Nasarawa United recent form
| Inter Lagos |
LDLDWL |
| Nasarawa United |
WDWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter Lagos and Nasarawa United season so far
Inter Lagos record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Nasarawa United record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.