Nigeria Premier Football League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United

0 – 2 Full time

10′K. Ogbodo
40′L. Ugochukwu
Inter Lagos 46%
Draw 30%
Nasarawa United 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInter LagosDrawNasarawa United
Model41.0%34.0%25.0%
Market47.3%29.0%23.7%
Final45.7%30.3%24.0%
Edge-1.6%+1.3%+0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter Lagos ↓ / Nasarawa Unite → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 11% 1 15% 14% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 16%

Inter Lagos and Nasarawa United expected goals

Inter Lagos 1.10
Nasarawa United 0.80

Total expected goals: 1.89

Inter Lagos and Nasarawa United attack and defence ratings

Inter Lagos

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Nasarawa United

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United: result vs prediction

Inter Lagos 0 – 2 Nasarawa United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Nigeria Premier Football League

Before and after this match

Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter Lagos 45.7% 2.19 -1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.6% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 62.1% 1.61 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.0% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.0% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter Lagos45.7%
Draw30.3%
Nasarawa United24.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.4%
Under 2.570.6%
Both teams to scoreYes37.9%
No62.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.0%
12 (either side)69.7%
X2 (draw or away)54.3%
Handicap -1Inter Lagos win17.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss59.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.4%
1-015.2%
1-114.5%

Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United stats

Inter Lagos and Nasarawa United recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter Lagos and Nasarawa United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter Lagos record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Nasarawa United record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 29.0%, away 23.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.91 3.10 3.80
Bet365 1.90 3.10 3.80
Marathonbet 1.89 3.10 3.70

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.