Warri Wolves
vs
Inter Lagos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Warri Wolves
1 – 0 Predicted score · 22% model probability
Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos
| Probability | Warri Wolves | Draw | Inter Lagos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.6% | 33.5% | 12.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.6% | 33.5% | 12.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Warri Wolves
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.45.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos match preview
Warri Wolves will face Inter Lagos in the Nigeria Premier Football League on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 54% probability of a Warri Wolves victory, while a draw stands at 33% and an Inter Lagos win at 13%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Warri Wolves, with a 22% chance of occurring. Expected goals suggest Warri Wolves will score 1.18, compared to Inter Lagos's 0.45.
In terms of recent form, Warri Wolves have recorded two losses, one win, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Inter Lagos's recent performances include two draws, one win, and three losses. The probabilities provided are model-only, with a confidence grade of C, indicating moderate reliability in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Warri Wolves and Inter Lagos expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.63
Warri Wolves and Inter Lagos attack and defence ratings
Warri Wolves
Inter Lagos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Ikorodu City v Kwara United — match page
- Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes — team news & stats
- Abia Warriors vs Rivers United — team news & stats
- Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars — team news & stats
- Nasarawa United vs Doma United
- Plateau United v Kano Pillars — match page
- Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance
Before and after this match
Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warri Wolves | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warri Wolves | 53.6% |
| Draw | 33.5% | |
| Inter Lagos | 12.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.0% |
| No | 74.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Warri Wolves win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.8% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 22.1% |
| 0-0 | 20.6% | |
| 2-0 | 13.7% |
Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos stats
Warri Wolves and Inter Lagos recent form
| Warri Wolves |
LLWDWL |
| Inter Lagos |
DLDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.