Nigeria Premier Football League
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Warri Wolves
vs
Inter Lagos
3 – 1 Full time
Warri Wolves
54%
Draw
33%
Inter Lagos
13%
Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos
| Probability | Warri Wolves | Draw | Inter Lagos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.6% | 33.5% | 12.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.6% | 33.5% | 12.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Warri Wolves
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.45.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
79%
2+ goals
49%
3+ goals
22%
No goals
21%
Warri Wolves and Inter Lagos expected goals
Warri Wolves
1.18
Inter Lagos
0.45
Total expected goals: 1.63
Warri Wolves and Inter Lagos attack and defence ratings
Warri Wolves
Attack
0.67 -33%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Inter Lagos
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos: result vs prediction
Warri Wolves 3 – 1 Inter Lagos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Katsina United v Enyimba — match page
- Ikorodu City v Kwara United — match page
- Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes — team news & stats
- Abia Warriors vs Rivers United — team news & stats
- Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars — team news & stats
- Nasarawa United vs Doma United
- Plateau United v Kano Pillars — match page
Before and after this match
Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warri Wolves | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warri Wolves | 53.6% |
| Draw | 33.5% | |
| Inter Lagos | 12.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.0% |
| No | 74.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Warri Wolves win | 24.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.8% | |
| Loss | 46.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 22.2% |
| 0-0 | 20.6% | |
| 2-0 | 13.7% |
Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos stats
Warri Wolves and Inter Lagos recent form
| Warri Wolves |
LLWDWL |
| Inter Lagos |
DLDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Warri Wolves and Inter Lagos going into this match
Warri Wolves record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Inter Lagos record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.