Shooting Stars
vs
Abia Warriors
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shooting Stars
2 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.62.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors
| Probability | Shooting Stars | Draw | Abia Warriors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.3% | 22.4% | 10.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 67.3% | 22.4% | 10.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Shooting Stars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.62.
Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors match preview
Shooting Stars are favored to win against Abia Warriors, with a probability of 67% according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which has a 15% chance of occurring. Shooting Stars have an expected goals figure of 1.92, while Abia Warriors sit at 0.62. The recent form shows Shooting Stars with a record of D-W-L-D-D-L, while Abia Warriors have L-D-D-L-W-L.
In their last two encounters, each team has secured one victory, indicating a competitive matchup. The probabilities suggest a draw is less likely at 22%, while both teams scoring is at 40%. The model also indicates a 47% chance for over 2.5 goals in the match. Overall, Shooting Stars appear to have the upper hand heading into this fixture.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shooting Stars and Abia Warriors expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Shooting Stars and Abia Warriors attack and defence ratings
Shooting Stars
Abia Warriors
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Doma United v Ikorodu City — match page
- Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats
- Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees
- Kano Pillars v Nasarawa United — match page
- Katsina United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats
- Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance
- Plateau United vs Warri Wolves — team news & stats
- Rivers United vs Enugu Rangers
Before and after this match
Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shooting Stars | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Shooting Stars win | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shooting Stars | 67.3% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Abia Warriors | 10.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.4% |
| No | 59.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shooting Stars win | 42.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 32.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-1 | 10.4% |
Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors stats
Shooting Stars and Abia Warriors recent form
| Shooting Stars |
DWLDDL |
| Abia Warriors |
LDDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shooting Stars and Abia Warriors season so far
Shooting Stars record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Abia Warriors record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Abia Warriors | Shooting Stars | Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Shooting Stars | Abia Warriors | Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.