Doma United
vs
Barau FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Doma United
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.85.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Doma United vs Barau FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Doma United vs Barau FC
| Probability | Doma United | Draw | Barau FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.5% | 30.0% | 21.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.5% | 30.0% | 21.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Doma United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.85.
Doma United vs Barau FC match preview
Doma United is set to face Barau FC in the Nigeria Premier Football League on November 14, 2026. According to our model, Doma United has a 52% probability of winning, while a draw is at 29% and Barau FC at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Doma United, with an expected goals figure of 1.48 compared to Barau FC's 0.81.
In terms of recent form, Doma United has recorded two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Barau FC has struggled with four draws and one loss. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40%, and both teams scoring is projected at 44%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Doma United and Barau FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Doma United and Barau FC attack and defence ratings
Doma United
Barau FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Kano Pillars vs Ranchers Bees
- Enyimba v Ikorodu City — match page
- Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors — team news & stats
- Katsina United v Nasarawa United — match page
- Kwara United vs Rivers United — team news & stats
- Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers
- Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos
Before and after this match
Doma United vs Barau FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doma United | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doma United | 48.5% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Barau FC | 21.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.2% |
| No | 55.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Doma United win | 24.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 51.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 13.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.9% |
Doma United vs Barau FC stats
Doma United and Barau FC recent form
| Doma United |
DDDLWL |
| Barau FC |
WDDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Doma United and Barau FC season so far
Doma United record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barau FC record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.