Shooting Stars
vs
Bendel Insurance
2 – 1 Full time
Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance
| Probability | Shooting Stars | Draw | Bendel Insurance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.0% | 22.5% | 16.4% |
| Market | 65.9% | 22.7% | 11.4% |
| Final | 64.7% | 22.7% | 12.6% |
| Edge | -1.2% | -0.0% | +1.3% |
Why Shooting Stars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.99.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shooting Stars and Bendel Insurance expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Shooting Stars and Bendel Insurance attack and defence ratings
Shooting Stars
Bendel Insurance
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance: result vs prediction
Shooting Stars 2 – 1 Bendel Insurance
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shooting Stars | 64.7% | 1.55 | -1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shooting Stars | 64.7% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Bendel Insurance | 12.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% |
| No | 44.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shooting Stars win | 38.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 39.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-0 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance stats
Shooting Stars and Bendel Insurance recent form
| Shooting Stars |
LWDWLD |
| Bendel Insurance |
WLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shooting Stars and Bendel Insurance going into this match
Shooting Stars record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
Bendel Insurance record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Shooting Stars | Bendel Insurance | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Bendel Insurance | Shooting Stars | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Shooting Stars | Bendel Insurance | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-02 | Bendel Insurance | Shooting Stars | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-29 | Shooting Stars | Bendel Insurance | NPFL | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-07 | Bendel Insurance | Shooting Stars | NPFL | 2-0 |
| 2023-05-07 | Bendel Insurance | Shooting Stars | NPFL | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-12 | Shooting Stars | Bendel Insurance | NPFL | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.9%, draw 22.7%, away 11.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.32 | 3.82 | 11.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 3.75 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.38 | 4.15 | 7.90 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.00 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.43 | 3.95 | 7.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.31 | 3.82 | 10.25 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.00 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .