Inter Lagos
vs
Abia Warriors
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter Lagos
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.81.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors
| Probability | Inter Lagos | Draw | Abia Warriors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.5% | 25.5% | 16.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 58.5% | 25.5% | 16.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Inter Lagos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.81.
Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors match preview
Inter Lagos enters this matchup against Abia Warriors with a probability of 53% to win, while the visitors have a 17% chance of securing victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Inter Lagos, with an expected goals tally of 1.43 for them compared to 0.71 for Abia Warriors.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Inter Lagos recording a series of draws and losses, while Abia Warriors have also faced challenges but managed one win in their last five matches. The probability of a draw stands at 30%, and there is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, with a 40% likelihood that both teams will find the net. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter Lagos and Abia Warriors expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Inter Lagos and Abia Warriors attack and defence ratings
Inter Lagos
Abia Warriors
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Doma United vs Barau FC
- Kano Pillars vs Ranchers Bees
- Enyimba v Ikorodu City — match page
- Katsina United v Nasarawa United — match page
- Kwara United vs Rivers United — team news & stats
- Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers
- Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos
Before and after this match
Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Lagos | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Lagos | 58.5% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Abia Warriors | 16.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Lagos win | 33.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 41.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.5% |
| 1-1 | 12.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.8% |
Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors stats
Inter Lagos and Abia Warriors recent form
| Inter Lagos |
DDLLLD |
| Abia Warriors |
DLLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter Lagos and Abia Warriors season so far
Inter Lagos record
- They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
Abia Warriors record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.