Enyimba
vs
Ikorodu City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Enyimba
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.89.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Enyimba vs Ikorodu City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Enyimba vs Ikorodu City
| Probability | Enyimba | Draw | Ikorodu City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.2% | 24.4% | 16.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.2% | 24.4% | 16.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Enyimba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Enyimba vs Ikorodu City match preview
Enyimba is set to face Ikorodu City in the Nigeria Premier Football League, with kickoff scheduled for November 15, 2026. According to our model, Enyimba has a 59% probability of winning, while Ikorodu City stands at 16%, and a draw is at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Enyimba, with an expected goals tally of 1.86 for Enyimba and 0.89 for Ikorodu City.
In terms of recent form, Enyimba has recorded one win in their last five matches, while Ikorodu City has managed just one victory in their recent outings. The head-to-head record shows Enyimba has not won against Ikorodu City in their last two encounters, with one draw and one loss. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Enyimba and Ikorodu City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Enyimba and Ikorodu City attack and defence ratings
Enyimba
Ikorodu City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Enyimba vs Ikorodu City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Enyimba | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Enyimba | 59.2% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Ikorodu City | 16.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% |
| No | 49.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Enyimba win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 40.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-0 | 11.1% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
Enyimba vs Ikorodu City stats
Enyimba and Ikorodu City recent form
| Enyimba |
LWLDLW |
| Ikorodu City |
DDDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Enyimba and Ikorodu City season so far
Enyimba record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Ikorodu City record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Enyimba vs Ikorodu City head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Ikorodu City | Enyimba | Federation Cup | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Enyimba | Ikorodu City | Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Ikorodu City | Enyimba | Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Ikorodu City | Enyimba | NPFL | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Enyimba | Ikorodu City | NPFL | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.