Kano Pillars
vs
Ranchers Bees
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kano Pillars
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 0.53.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kano Pillars vs Ranchers Bees overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kano Pillars vs Ranchers Bees
| Probability | Kano Pillars | Draw | Ranchers Bees |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.8% | 27.0% | 11.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.8% | 27.0% | 11.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kano Pillars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Kano Pillars vs Ranchers Bees match preview
Kano Pillars are set to face Ranchers Bees in the Nigeria Premier Football League, with a kickoff scheduled for November 14, 2026. According to our model, Kano Pillars hold a 62% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 27% and Ranchers Bees at 11%. The expected goals for Kano Pillars stand at 1.56, compared to Ranchers Bees' 0.53. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a probability of 18%.
In terms of recent form, Kano Pillars have recorded a sequence of D-W-D-W-L-D, while Ranchers Bees have shown a mixed performance with W-D-L-D-L-D. The model suggests a 35% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 33% likelihood for both teams to score, indicating a potentially low-scoring match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kano Pillars and Ranchers Bees expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
Kano Pillars and Ranchers Bees attack and defence ratings
Kano Pillars
Ranchers Bees
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Enyimba v Ikorodu City — match page
- Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors — team news & stats
- Katsina United v Nasarawa United — match page
- Kwara United vs Rivers United — team news & stats
- Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers
- Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos
Before and after this match
Kano Pillars vs Ranchers Bees markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kano Pillars | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kano Pillars | 61.8% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Ranchers Bees | 11.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.3% |
| No | 66.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kano Pillars win | 34.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.5% | |
| Loss | 38.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.4% |
| 2-0 | 15.1% | |
| 0-0 | 13.5% |
Kano Pillars vs Ranchers Bees stats
Kano Pillars and Ranchers Bees recent form
| Kano Pillars |
DWDWLD |
| Ranchers Bees |
WDLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kano Pillars and Ranchers Bees season so far
Kano Pillars record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Ranchers Bees record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.