CAF Champions League
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
San-Pédro
vs
Nouadhibou
2 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | A. Kassi | ||
| 40′ | Jowool | ||
| 90′ | M. Karamoko |
San-Pédro
46%
Draw
30%
Nouadhibou
24%
San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
| Probability | San-Pédro | Draw | Nouadhibou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.9% | 29.9% | 24.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.9% | 29.9% | 24.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why San-Pédro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.96.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
San-Pédro and Nouadhibou expected goals
San-Pédro
1.36
Nouadhibou
0.96
Total expected goals: 2.32
San-Pédro and Nouadhibou attack and defence ratings
San-Pédro
Attack
1.30 +30%
Defence
1.60 +60%
Nouadhibou
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou: result vs prediction
San-Pédro 2 – 1 Nouadhibou
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
- Enugu Rangers vs MC Alger
Before and after this match
San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San-Pédro | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San-Pédro | 45.9% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Nouadhibou | 24.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.8% |
| No | 53.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | San-Pédro win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.1% |
San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou stats
San-Pédro and Nouadhibou recent form
| San-Pédro |
DDLLLL |
| Nouadhibou |
DDLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.