San-Pédro
vs
Nouadhibou
Garuda Lions Prediction: San-Pédro
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
| Probability | San-Pédro | Draw | Nouadhibou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.3% | 29.9% | 23.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.3% | 29.9% | 23.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why San-Pédro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.93.
San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou match preview
San-Pédro faces Nouadhibou in the CAF Champions League with model probabilities suggesting a 46% chance of a home victory, while a draw stands at 30% and Nouadhibou at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of San-Pédro, with a 12% probability. The expected goals indicate San-Pédro at 1.39 and Nouadhibou at 0.93, hinting at a potentially tight contest.
In terms of recent form, San-Pédro has struggled, recording three losses and three draws in their last six matches. Conversely, Nouadhibou has shown slightly better form, with one win, three draws, and two losses in the same timeframe. The probabilities suggest a close match, with both teams having a 47% chance of scoring at least once.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San-Pédro and Nouadhibou expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
San-Pédro and Nouadhibou attack and defence ratings
San-Pédro
Nouadhibou
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- 15 de Agosto vs Simba — team news & stats
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
- Enugu Rangers vs MC Alger
- Scotland Mabvuku v Petro de Luanda — match page
- Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns — team news & stats
Before and after this match
San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San-Pédro | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San-Pédro | 46.3% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Nouadhibou | 23.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | San-Pédro win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 11.2% |
San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou stats
San-Pédro and Nouadhibou recent form
| San-Pédro |
DDLLLL |
| Nouadhibou |
DDLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.