Nouadhibou
vs
San-Pédro
2 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | K. Dembele | ||
| 53′ | C. Hattab |
Nouadhibou vs San-Pédro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nouadhibou vs San-Pédro
| Probability | Nouadhibou | Draw | San-Pédro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.6% | 27.5% | 21.9% |
| Market | 37.9% | 31.0% | 31.0% |
| Final | 41.1% | 30.2% | 28.8% |
| Edge | +3.2% | -0.9% | -2.3% |
Why Nouadhibou
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.96.
- The market prices Nouadhibou below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nouadhibou and San-Pédro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Nouadhibou and San-Pédro attack and defence ratings
Nouadhibou
San-Pédro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nouadhibou vs San-Pédro: result vs prediction
Nouadhibou 2 – 0 San-Pédro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Nouadhibou vs San-Pédro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nouadhibou | 41.1% | 2.43 | +3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nouadhibou | 41.1% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| San-Pédro | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% |
| No | 49.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nouadhibou win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 49.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Nouadhibou vs San-Pédro stats
Nouadhibou and San-Pédro recent form
| Nouadhibou |
LDDLDW |
| San-Pédro |
WDDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nouadhibou vs San-Pédro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | San-Pédro | Nouadhibou | CAF Champions League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nouadhibou vs San-Pédro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.9%, draw 31.0%, away 31.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.02 | 2.96 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 2.77 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.00 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.02 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .