Petro de Luanda
vs
Nouadhibou
Garuda Lions Prediction: Petro de Luanda
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.63.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Petro de Luanda vs Nouadhibou overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Petro de Luanda vs Nouadhibou
| Probability | Petro de Luanda | Draw | Nouadhibou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.7% | 31.5% | 16.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.7% | 31.5% | 16.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Petro de Luanda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Petro de Luanda vs Nouadhibou match preview
In the upcoming CAF Champions League match, Petro de Luanda faces Nouadhibou with a kickoff scheduled for November 28, 2026. According to our model, Petro de Luanda holds a 52% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 31% and Nouadhibou at 17%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Petro de Luanda, occurring with an 18% likelihood.
Petro de Luanda's expected goals are calculated at 1.30, compared to Nouadhibou's 0.63. Recent form shows Petro de Luanda with mixed results, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches. In contrast, Nouadhibou has struggled, managing just one win in their last six, along with three draws and two losses. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Petro de Luanda and Nouadhibou expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.92
Petro de Luanda and Nouadhibou attack and defence ratings
Petro de Luanda
Nouadhibou
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Regular season - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Petro de Luanda vs Nouadhibou markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petro de Luanda | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petro de Luanda | 51.7% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| Nouadhibou | 16.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.0% |
| No | 65.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Petro de Luanda win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.6% | |
| Loss | 48.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.8% |
| 0-0 | 15.8% | |
| 1-1 | 13.0% |
Petro de Luanda vs Nouadhibou stats
Petro de Luanda and Nouadhibou recent form
| Petro de Luanda |
WLDWLD |
| Nouadhibou |
WLDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.