Al Hilal Omdurman
vs
Horoya
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Hilal Omdurman
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.44.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Horoya overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Hilal Omdurman vs Horoya
| Probability | Al Hilal Omdurman | Draw | Horoya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.1% | 24.5% | 8.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 67.1% | 24.5% | 8.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al Hilal Omdurman
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Horoya match preview
Al Hilal Omdurman enters the match against Horoya with a strong probability of winning at 67%, while the chances of a draw stand at 24% and Horoya at 8%. The expected goals suggest a dominant performance from Al Hilal, with a forecast of 1.68 compared to Horoya's 0.44. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a 19% probability.
In terms of recent form, Al Hilal Omdurman has recorded four wins, one loss, and one draw in their last six matches, indicating a solid performance trend. Conversely, Horoya's recent results show two wins, three losses, and one draw, highlighting some inconsistency. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 36%, while both teams scoring is estimated at 30%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Hilal Omdurman and Horoya expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Al Hilal Omdurman and Horoya attack and defence ratings
Al Hilal Omdurman
Horoya
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Regular season - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Horoya markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al Hilal Omdurman win | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 67.1% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Horoya | 8.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.0% |
| No | 70.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Hilal Omdurman win | 39.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.7% | |
| Loss | 32.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.2% |
| 2-0 | 16.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.9% |
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Horoya stats
Al Hilal Omdurman and Horoya recent form
| Al Hilal Omdurman |
WWWWLD |
| Horoya |
LWWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.