Al Merreikh
vs
Horoya
1 – 0 Full time
| 70′ | Al Merreikh | ||
| 120′ | Horoya | ||
| 120′ | Al Merreikh | ||
| 120′ | Horoya | ||
| 120′ | Horoya | ||
| 120′ | Al Merreikh | ||
| 120′ | Horoya | ||
| 120′ | Al Merreikh | ||
| 120′ | Horoya |
Al Merreikh vs Horoya overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Merreikh vs Horoya
| Probability | Al Merreikh | Draw | Horoya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.0% | 39.4% | 20.5% |
| Market | 53.4% | 27.5% | 19.1% |
| Final | 50.0% | 30.5% | 19.5% |
| Edge | -3.3% | +3.0% | +0.4% |
Why Al Merreikh
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.88 vs 0.55.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Merreikh and Horoya expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.42
Al Merreikh and Horoya attack and defence ratings
Al Merreikh
Horoya
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Merreikh vs Horoya: result vs prediction
Al Merreikh 1 – 0 Horoya
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Al Merreikh vs Horoya markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Merreikh | 50.0% | 2.00 | -3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Merreikh | 50.0% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Horoya | 19.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 82.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25.7% |
| No | 74.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Merreikh win | 14.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 25.3% |
| 1-0 | 19.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.7% |
Al Merreikh vs Horoya stats
Al Merreikh and Horoya recent form
| Al Merreikh |
LWWDL |
| Horoya |
WWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Al Merreikh vs Horoya head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Horoya | Al Merreikh | CAF Champions League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Merreikh vs Horoya odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.4%, draw 27.5%, away 19.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.30 | 4.75 |