CAF Champions League
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
Horoya
vs
Al Merreikh
1 – 0 Full time
| 41′ | Horoya |
Horoya
36%
Draw
39%
Al Merreikh
26%
Horoya vs Al Merreikh overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Horoya vs Al Merreikh
| Probability | Horoya | Draw | Al Merreikh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.7% | 38.8% | 25.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.7% | 38.8% | 25.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
77%
2+ goals
46%
3+ goals
19%
No goals
23%
Horoya and Al Merreikh expected goals
Horoya
0.85
Al Merreikh
0.67
Total expected goals: 1.52
Horoya and Al Merreikh attack and defence ratings
Horoya
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Al Merreikh
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
0.65 -35%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Horoya vs Al Merreikh: result vs prediction
Horoya 1 – 0 Al Merreikh
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Horoya vs Al Merreikh markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Horoya | 35.7% |
| Draw | 38.8% | |
| Al Merreikh | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 19.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 80.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.1% |
| No | 70.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 61.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Horoya win | 12.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 64.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 23.2% |
| 1-0 | 17.3% | |
| 1-1 | 13.7% |
Horoya vs Al Merreikh stats
Horoya and Al Merreikh recent form
| Horoya |
WLLDWL |
| Al Merreikh |
WWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.