Petro de Luanda
vs
Scotland Mabvuku
Garuda Lions Prediction: Petro de Luanda
1 – 0 Predicted score · 20% model probability
Petro de Luanda vs Scotland Mabvuku overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Petro de Luanda vs Scotland Mabvuku
| Probability | Petro de Luanda | Draw | Scotland Mabvuku |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.7% | 36.8% | 18.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.7% | 36.8% | 18.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Petro de Luanda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.01 vs 0.55.
Petro de Luanda vs Scotland Mabvuku match preview
Petro de Luanda faces Scotland Mabvuku in the CAF Champions League on October 23, 2026. According to our model, Petro de Luanda has a 45% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 37% and Scotland Mabvuku at 18%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Petro de Luanda, with a 20% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Petro de Luanda is 1.01, compared to 0.55 for Scotland Mabvuku.
In terms of recent form, Petro de Luanda has recorded a series of results including two draws, one win, and three losses, while Scotland Mabvuku has achieved a draw and a win in their most recent matches. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 21%, and both teams scoring is projected at 28%. The overall confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Petro de Luanda and Scotland Mabvuku expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.56
Petro de Luanda and Scotland Mabvuku attack and defence ratings
Petro de Luanda
Scotland Mabvuku
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Petro de Luanda vs Scotland Mabvuku markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petro de Luanda | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petro de Luanda | 44.7% |
| Draw | 36.8% | |
| Scotland Mabvuku | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.0% |
| No | 72.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Petro de Luanda win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.5% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.2% |
| 1-0 | 20.1% | |
| 1-1 | 12.8% |
Petro de Luanda vs Scotland Mabvuku stats
Petro de Luanda and Scotland Mabvuku recent form
| Petro de Luanda |
DWLDDL |
| Scotland Mabvuku |
DW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.