Scotland Mabvuku
vs
Petro de Luanda
Garuda Lions Prediction: Scotland Mabvuku
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda
| Probability | Scotland Mabvuku | Draw | Petro de Luanda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 37.5% | 20.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.5% | 37.5% | 20.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Scotland Mabvuku
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.96 vs 0.58.
Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda match preview
Scotland Mabvuku faces Petro de Luanda in the CAF Champions League, with kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. The model indicates a 42% probability of a Scotland Mabvuku victory, while a draw stands at 37% and Petro de Luanda at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Scotland Mabvuku, with a 19% probability.
In terms of expected goals, Scotland Mabvuku is projected to score 0.96, while Petro de Luanda is expected to net 0.58. Recent form shows Scotland Mabvuku with a draw and a win, while Petro de Luanda has two draws and a win, alongside two losses in their last five matches. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C, based solely on model probabilities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Scotland Mabvuku and Petro de Luanda expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.54
Scotland Mabvuku and Petro de Luanda attack and defence ratings
Scotland Mabvuku
Petro de Luanda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Scotland Mabvuku | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Scotland Mabvuku | 42.5% |
| Draw | 37.5% | |
| Petro de Luanda | 20.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.3% |
| No | 71.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Scotland Mabvuku win | 16.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.6% |
| 1-0 | 19.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda stats
Scotland Mabvuku and Petro de Luanda recent form
| Scotland Mabvuku |
DW |
| Petro de Luanda |
DWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.