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CAF Champions League · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda

2 – 0 Full time

2′Petro de Luanda
67′K. Billiat
80′K. Musona
Scotland Mabvuku 41%
Draw 38%
Petro de Luanda 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityScotland MabvukuDrawPetro de Luanda
Model41.2%37.7%21.1%
Market———
Final41.2%37.7%21.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Scotland Mabvuku

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.94 vs 0.60.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Scotland Mabvu ↓ / Petro de Luand → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 23% 12% 1 19% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 77%
2+ goals 47%
3+ goals 20%
No goals 23%

Scotland Mabvuku and Petro de Luanda expected goals

Scotland Mabvuku 0.94
Petro de Luanda 0.60

Total expected goals: 1.54

Scotland Mabvuku and Petro de Luanda attack and defence ratings

Scotland Mabvuku

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Petro de Luanda

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda: result vs prediction

Scotland Mabvuku 2 – 0 Petro de Luanda

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Champions League

Before and after this match

Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Scotland Mabvuku 41.2% 2.43 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 79.9% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score No 71.3% 1.40 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.9% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.8% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Scotland Mabvuku41.2%
Draw37.7%
Petro de Luanda21.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.520.1%
Under 2.579.9%
Both teams to scoreYes28.7%
No71.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.9%
12 (either side)62.3%
X2 (draw or away)58.8%
Handicap -1Scotland Mabvuku win15.9%
Push (exactly one goal)25.3%
Loss58.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-022.6%
1-019.0%
1-113.3%

Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda stats

Scotland Mabvuku and Petro de Luanda recent form

newest first
Scotland Mabvuku DW
Petro de Luanda DWLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.