CAF Champions League · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Pyramids FC vs EL Merriekh Bentiu

4 – 0 Full time

23′A. Magdi
28′A. Magdi
45′M. Fathi
71′N. Benbouali

30 June Stadium, Cairo

Pyramids FC 90%
Draw 8%
EL Merriekh Bentiu 3%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Pyramids FC vs EL Merriekh Bentiu overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pyramids FC vs EL Merriekh Bentiu

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPyramids FCDrawEL Merriekh Bentiu
Model81.0%14.4%4.6%
Market92.5%5.6%1.9%
Final89.6%7.8%2.5%
Edge-2.9%+2.2%+0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Pyramids FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 0.48.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pyramids FC ↓ / EL Merriekh Be → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 12% 2 16% 3 13% 4+ 15%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Pyramids FC and EL Merriekh Bentiu expected goals

Pyramids FC 2.51
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0.48

Total expected goals: 2.99

Pyramids FC and EL Merriekh Bentiu attack and defence ratings

Pyramids FC

Attack 2.07 +107%
Defence 0.68 -32%

EL Merriekh Bentiu

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pyramids FC vs EL Merriekh Bentiu: result vs prediction

Pyramids FC 4 – 0 EL Merriekh Bentiu

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Champions League

Before and after this match

Pyramids FC vs EL Merriekh Bentiu markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Pyramids FC 89.6% 1.12 -2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.4% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 64.4% 1.55 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 97.5% 1.03 — —
Handicap -1 Pyramids FC win 59.8% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pyramids FC89.6%
Draw7.8%
EL Merriekh Bentiu2.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.4%
Under 2.542.6%
Both teams to scoreYes35.6%
No64.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)97.5%
12 (either side)92.2%
X2 (draw or away)10.4%
Handicap -1Pyramids FC win59.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss18.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-015.9%
3-013.3%
1-012.1%

Pyramids FC vs EL Merriekh Bentiu stats

Pyramids FC and EL Merriekh Bentiu recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pyramids FC vs EL Merriekh Bentiu head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Pyramids FC wins 0Draws 0EL Merriekh Bentiu wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-16EL Merriekh BentiuPyramids FCCAF Champions League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Pyramids FC vs EL Merriekh Bentiu odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 92.5%, draw 5.6%, away 1.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.03 17.00 51.00

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.