Orlando Pirates
vs
Kaizer Chiefs
Garuda Lions Prediction: Orlando Pirates
1 – 0 Predicted score · 20% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.33.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs
| Probability | Orlando Pirates | Draw | Kaizer Chiefs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.7% | 21.0% | 5.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 73.7% | 21.0% | 5.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Orlando Pirates
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.33.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs match preview
Orlando Pirates are set to face Kaizer Chiefs in a Premier Soccer League match on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Orlando Pirates have a strong probability of winning at 74%, while Kaizer Chiefs sit at just 5%. The expected goals for Orlando Pirates are 1.83, compared to a mere 0.33 for Kaizer Chiefs. Recent form favors Orlando Pirates, who have won their last six matches, while Kaizer Chiefs have a mixed record with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games.
In terms of scoring, the most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 20%. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams to score is projected at 24%. The head-to-head record shows Orlando Pirates with one win and one draw against Kaizer Chiefs in their last two encounters, further indicating their current dominance.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Orlando Pirates and Kaizer Chiefs expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
Orlando Pirates and Kaizer Chiefs attack and defence ratings
Orlando Pirates
Kaizer Chiefs
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orlando Pirates | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando Pirates win | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orlando Pirates | 73.7% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 5.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 24.5% |
| No | 75.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando Pirates win | 46.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.4% | |
| Loss | 26.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 20.3% |
| 2-0 | 19.3% | |
| 0-0 | 12.2% |
Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs stats
Orlando Pirates and Kaizer Chiefs recent form
| Orlando Pirates |
WWWWWW |
| Kaizer Chiefs |
WLDDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Orlando Pirates and Kaizer Chiefs season so far
Orlando Pirates record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Kaizer Chiefs record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Orlando Pirates | Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Kaizer Chiefs | Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.