Kaizer Chiefs
vs
Red Arrows
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows
| Probability | Kaizer Chiefs | Draw | Red Arrows |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.5% | 35.6% | 32.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.5% | 35.6% | 32.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows match preview
In the upcoming CAF Confederation Cup match, Kaizer Chiefs face Red Arrows with probabilities indicating a closely contested game. Kaizer Chiefs have a 32% chance of winning, while Red Arrows are at 33%, and a draw is slightly favored at 36%. The model suggests a most likely scoreline of 0-0, occurring with an 18% probability.
Both teams have shown varying recent form, with Kaizer Chiefs recording two draws and three wins in their last six matches, while Red Arrows are on a stronger run, boasting four wins and a draw in the same period. Expected goals are nearly equal, with Kaizer Chiefs at 0.89 and Red Arrows at 0.91, indicating a potentially tight encounter. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 27%, and both teams scoring stands at 36%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kaizer Chiefs and Red Arrows expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.80
Kaizer Chiefs and Red Arrows attack and defence ratings
Kaizer Chiefs
Red Arrows
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 31.5% |
| Draw | 35.6% | |
| Red Arrows | 32.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.5% |
| No | 63.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Red Arrows win | 12.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 67.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.9% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 13.8% |
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows stats
Kaizer Chiefs and Red Arrows recent form
| Kaizer Chiefs |
DDWDDW |
| Red Arrows |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.