CAF Confederation Cup · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows

1 – 0 Full time

66′Bradley Cross

FNB Stadium, Johannesburg

Kaizer Chiefs 57%
Draw 26%
Red Arrows 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

60 Possession % 40
6 Corners 3
0 Offsides 0

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKaizer ChiefsDrawRed Arrows
Model23.2%38.8%38.0%
Market68.7%21.3%10.0%
Final57.4%25.6%17.0%
Edge-11.4%+4.4%+7.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kaizer Chiefs ↓ / Red Arrows → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 24% 18% 1 13% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 76%
2+ goals 45%
3+ goals 19%
No goals 24%

Kaizer Chiefs and Red Arrows expected goals

Kaizer Chiefs 0.62
Red Arrows 0.87

Total expected goals: 1.50

Kaizer Chiefs and Red Arrows attack and defence ratings

Kaizer Chiefs

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Red Arrows

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.46 -54%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows: result vs prediction

Kaizer Chiefs 1 – 0 Red Arrows

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Confederation Cup

Before and after this match

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kaizer Chiefs 57.4% 1.74 -11.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81.0% 1.23 — —
Both teams to score No 71.8% 1.39 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.0% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 76.8% 1.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kaizer Chiefs57.4%
Draw25.6%
Red Arrows17.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.519.0%
Under 2.581.0%
Both teams to scoreYes28.2%
No71.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.0%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)42.6%
Handicap -1Kaizer Chiefs win6.4%
Push (exactly one goal)16.9%
Loss76.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-023.6%
0-118.4%
1-113.4%

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows stats

Kaizer Chiefs and Red Arrows recent form

newest first
Kaizer Chiefs LDDDWD
Red Arrows WDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Kaizer Chiefs wins 0Draws 1Red Arrows wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-17Red ArrowsKaizer ChiefsCAF Confederation Cup1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 68.7%, draw 21.3%, away 10.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.28 4.50 9.50
Bet365 1.33 4.00 9.00
BetVictor 1.29 3.60 7.00
Betano 1.36 4.00 8.00
Betfair 1.30 4.75 8.00
Dafabet 1.35 4.40 9.60
Marathonbet 1.27 4.50 8.90
William Hill 1.30 4.00 9.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.30 ▲ +0.15
X 4.20 ▼ -1.22
2 8.95 ▼ -5.45

7 snapshots recorded, from .