Masr vs Azam Prediction — 16 Oct 2026

Masr vs Azam overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Masr vs Azam

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Masr	Draw	Azam
Model	36.6%	31.6%	31.8%
Market	62.5%	23.5%	14.0%
Final	56.0%	25.5%	18.4%
Edge	-6.5%	+2.0%	+4.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

88%

2+ goals

66%

3+ goals

38%

No goals

12%

Masr and Azam expected goals

Masr

1.16

Azam

1.06

Total expected goals: 2.22

Masr and Azam attack and defence ratings

Masr

Attack

1.14 +14%

Defence

0.88 -12%

Azam

Attack

1.31 +31%

Defence

0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Masr vs Azam: result vs prediction

Masr 1 – 1 Azam

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

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Before and after this match

Masr, previous: El Mokawloon v Masr analysis
Masr, next: Masr – Future FC, 2026-10-20
Azam, previous: Coastal Union v Azam analysis
Azam, next: Azam vs Mashujaa prediction

Masr vs Azam markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Masr	56.0%	1.79	-6.5%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	61.7%	1.62	—	—
Both teams to score	No	53.8%	1.86	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	81.6%	1.23	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	63.4%	1.58	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Masr	56.0%
	Draw	25.5%
	Azam	18.4%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	38.3%
	Under 2.5	61.7%
Both teams to score	Yes	46.2%
	No	53.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	81.6%
	12 (either side)	74.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	44.0%
Handicap -1	Masr win	15.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.7%
	Loss	63.4%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.7%
	0-0	12.2%
	1-0	11.2%

Masr vs Azam stats

Masr and Azam recent form

newest first

Masr	DWDLWW
Azam	WLWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Masr vs Azam head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Masr vs Azam odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.1%, draw 23.3%, away 13.6%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.43	3.78	6.87
Bet365	1.44	4.10	6.25
BetVictor	1.40	3.50	5.00
Betano	1.37	4.40	6.70
Betfair	1.33	4.60	6.50
Dafabet	1.39	4.60	7.60
Marathonbet	1.42	3.78	6.50
Pinnacle	1.49	3.79	5.70
William Hill	1.40	3.80	6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.42 ▲ +0.14

X 3.79 ▼ -1.31

2 6.38 ▼ -2.62

4 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-15T08:10:01Z.

45′			M. Nabil
58′			Azam