Masr
vs
Azam
Garuda Lions Prediction: Masr
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Masr vs Azam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Masr vs Azam
| Probability | Masr | Draw | Azam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.8% | 30.5% | 29.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.8% | 30.5% | 29.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Masr vs Azam match preview
Masr faces Azam in the CAF Confederation Cup with a kickoff scheduled for October 16, 2026. According to our model, Masr holds a 40% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 31% and Azam at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Masr, which has an 11% probability. Expected goals are projected at 1.27 for Masr and 1.06 for Azam.
In terms of recent form, Masr has recorded a W-D-L-W-W-L sequence, while Azam shows a more consistent trend with L-W-W-D-W-W results. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 41%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 48%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Masr and Azam expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Masr and Azam attack and defence ratings
Masr
Azam
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Masr vs Azam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Masr | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Masr | 39.8% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Azam | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.4% |
| No | 51.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Masr win | 16.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 63.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 0-0 | 11.0% |