Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

El Mokawloon vs Masr

1 – 1 Full time

15′W. NabhanM. Hussein
20′I. Thiam
29′KahrabaK. Abdelfattah
35′M. Hamed
35′M. Mohamed
46′D. DodoM. Abdelnasser
47′A. Baniouwda
60′Abdelrahman El SakranM. Hajij
60′M. HusseinM. Ibrahim
60′A. AtefR. Khalil
75′A. Ouled BehiO. Kamal
75′A. BaniouwdaJ. Ojera
79′M. Hamed
79′M. Hamed
80′I. ThiamY. Safina
81′M. EzzMessi
87′R. Khalil
89′M. Mohamed
90′M. Rabia

Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo

El Mokawloon 32%
Draw 33%
Masr 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
41 Possession % 59
3 Corners 5
10 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 1
212 Accurate passes 328

El Mokawloon vs Masr overview

Garuda Lions analysis: El Mokawloon vs Masr

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEl MokawloonDrawMasr
Model36.6%30.1%33.3%
Market30.6%34.1%35.3%
Final32.1%33.1%34.8%
Edge+1.5%-1.0%-0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

El Mokawloon ↓ / Masr → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

El Mokawloon and Masr expected goals

El Mokawloon 1.25
Masr 1.18

Total expected goals: 2.42

El Mokawloon and Masr attack and defence ratings

El Mokawloon

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Masr

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

El Mokawloon vs Masr: result vs prediction

El Mokawloon 1 – 1 Masr

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

El Mokawloon vs Masr markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Masr 34.8% 2.88 -0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.4% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 67.9% 1.47 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.7% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2El Mokawloon32.1%
Draw33.1%
Masr34.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.6%
Under 2.556.4%
Both teams to scoreYes50.5%
No49.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.2%
12 (either side)66.9%
X2 (draw or away)67.9%
Handicap -1Masr win14.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss66.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.2%
1-09.8%

El Mokawloon vs Masr stats

El Mokawloon and Masr recent form

newest first
El Mokawloon WDWLLW
Masr WDLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

El Mokawloon and Masr going into this match

league record before kick-off

El Mokawloon record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Masr record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

El Mokawloon vs Masr head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1El Mokawloon wins 4Draws 1Masr wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-06MasrEl MokawloonEgypt Premier League0-0
2026-03-30El MokawloonMasrLeague Cup1-1
2026-03-26MasrEl MokawloonLeague Cup0-0
2025-08-09El MokawloonMasrEgypt Premier League0-2
2024-05-03MasrEl MokawloonPremier League0-1
2023-10-22El MokawloonMasrPremier League3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

El Mokawloon vs Masr odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.6%, draw 34.1%, away 35.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.12 2.49 2.61
Bet365 2.88 2.62 2.55
BetVictor 2.80 2.75 2.50
Betano 3.00 2.72 2.65
Betfair 3.00 2.75 2.63
Dafabet 3.00 2.80 2.60
Marathonbet 3.04 2.49 2.59
Pinnacle 3.17 2.60 2.87
SBO 2.74 2.68 2.32
William Hill 2.90 2.70 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.00 ▼ -0.19
X 2.69 ▲ +0.15
2 2.60 ▲ +0.07

13 snapshots recorded, from .