El Mokawloon
vs
Masr
Garuda Lions Prediction: Masr
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
El Mokawloon vs Masr overview
Garuda Lions analysis: El Mokawloon vs Masr
| Probability | El Mokawloon | Draw | Masr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 30.1% | 33.1% |
| Market | 30.3% | 34.7% | 35.0% |
| Final | 32.0% | 33.5% | 34.5% |
| Edge | +6.5% | -4.6% | -1.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.81, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
El Mokawloon vs Masr match preview
El Mokawloon faces Masr in the Egypt Premier League on October 12, 2026. The match presents a competitive outlook, with Masr holding a slight edge in the model's probabilities at 35%, compared to El Mokawloon’s 31% and a 34% chance of a draw. The expected goals are closely matched, with El Mokawloon at 1.25 and Masr at 1.17, indicating a potentially tight contest.
Recent form shows El Mokawloon with a record of W-D-W-L-L-W, while Masr has W-D-L-W-W-L. In their last two encounters, El Mokawloon has not secured a win, with Masr winning once and one match ending in a draw. The most likely scoreline suggested is 0-1, occurring with a 9% probability, while the likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 51%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
El Mokawloon and Masr expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
El Mokawloon and Masr attack and defence ratings
El Mokawloon
Masr
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Olympic El Qanah v AL Masry — match page
- Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly — team news & stats
- Future FC v Enppi — match page
- Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra — team news & stats
- Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla
- National Bank of Egypt v El Geish — match page
- Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol — team news & stats
- Petrojet vs Wadi Degla
Before and after this match
El Mokawloon vs Masr markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Masr | 34.5% | 2.90 | -1.9% | 2.81 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Mokawloon | 32.0% |
| Draw | 33.5% | |
| Masr | 34.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Masr win | 14.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 66.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 1-0 | 9.8% |
El Mokawloon vs Masr stats
El Mokawloon and Masr recent form
| El Mokawloon |
WDWLLW |
| Masr |
WDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
El Mokawloon vs Masr head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Masr | El Mokawloon | Egypt Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | El Mokawloon | Masr | Egypt Premier League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
El Mokawloon vs Masr odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 34.7%, away 35.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.12 | 2.49 | 2.61 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 2.72 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 2.49 | 2.59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.14 | 2.58 | 2.81 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.70 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .