Enppi
vs
El Mokawloon
0 – 3 Full time
Enppi vs El Mokawloon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Enppi vs El Mokawloon
| Probability | Enppi | Draw | El Mokawloon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.3% | 25.0% | 52.7% |
| Market | 34.4% | 32.4% | 33.3% |
| Final | 31.3% | 30.5% | 38.2% |
| Edge | -12.1% | -7.4% | +19.4% |
Why El Mokawloon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices El Mokawloon below the model: +19.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Enppi and El Mokawloon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Enppi and El Mokawloon attack and defence ratings
Enppi
El Mokawloon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Enppi vs El Mokawloon: result vs prediction
Enppi 0 – 3 El Mokawloon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Enppi vs El Mokawloon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Mokawloon | 38.2% | 2.62 | +19.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Enppi | 31.3% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| El Mokawloon | 38.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% |
| No | 42.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | El Mokawloon win | 30.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.7% |
Enppi vs El Mokawloon stats
Enppi and El Mokawloon recent form
| Enppi |
LLWDLL |
| El Mokawloon |
DWDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Enppi and El Mokawloon going into this match
Enppi record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
El Mokawloon record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Enppi vs El Mokawloon head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Enppi | El Mokawloon | League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Enppi | El Mokawloon | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-17 | El Mokawloon | Enppi | Egypt Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-02 | Enppi | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-14 | El Mokawloon | Enppi | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-09 | Enppi | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2022-12-15 | El Mokawloon | Enppi | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2022-05-15 | El Mokawloon | Enppi | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2021-10-30 | Enppi | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2021-06-28 | Enppi | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Enppi vs El Mokawloon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.4%, draw 32.4%, away 33.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.61 | 2.75 | 2.69 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 2.90 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 2.87 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 2.85 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.61 | 2.75 | 2.69 |
| Pinnacle | 2.81 | 2.87 | 2.91 |
| SBO | 2.52 | 2.81 | 2.52 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .