Zamalek SC
vs
El Mokawloon
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zamalek SC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.04 vs 0.65.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Zamalek SC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Zamalek SC vs El Mokawloon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zamalek SC vs El Mokawloon
| Probability | Zamalek SC | Draw | El Mokawloon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.1% | 35.6% | 21.3% |
| Market | 47.5% | 30.1% | 22.5% |
| Final | 46.4% | 31.5% | 22.2% |
| Edge | -1.1% | +1.4% | -0.3% |
Why Zamalek SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.04 vs 0.65.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.5% per unit staked (our 46.4% × 1.95 − 1).
Zamalek SC vs El Mokawloon match preview
Zamalek SC faces El Mokawloon in the Egypt Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for October 28, 2026. According to our model, Zamalek SC has a 40% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 35% and El Mokawloon at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Zamalek SC, with an expected goals metric of 1.05 for Zamalek SC and 0.77 for El Mokawloon.
In terms of recent form, Zamalek SC has recorded three consecutive wins followed by a loss and another win, totaling four wins in their last six matches. El Mokawloon has shown a mixed performance with three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six games. The model indicates a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zamalek SC and El Mokawloon expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.69
Zamalek SC and El Mokawloon attack and defence ratings
Zamalek SC
El Mokawloon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zamalek SC vs El Mokawloon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zamalek SC | 46.4% | 2.16 | -1.1% | 1.95 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zamalek SC | 46.4% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| El Mokawloon | 22.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.2% |
| No | 67.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zamalek SC win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 56.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.6% |
| 1-0 | 17.9% | |
| 1-1 | 13.7% |
Zamalek SC vs El Mokawloon stats
Zamalek SC and El Mokawloon recent form
| Zamalek SC |
WWWLWW |
| El Mokawloon |
WDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zamalek SC and El Mokawloon season so far
Zamalek SC record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
El Mokawloon record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Zamalek SC vs El Mokawloon head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-16 | Zamalek SC | El Mokawloon | Egypt Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-07-29 | El Mokawloon | Zamalek SC | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-25 | Zamalek SC | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-07-04 | Zamalek SC | El Mokawloon | Cup | 6-1 |
| 2023-04-17 | Zamalek SC | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2022-12-25 | El Mokawloon | Zamalek SC | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-21 | El Mokawloon | Zamalek SC | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2021-04-29 | Zamalek SC | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2020-12-12 | El Mokawloon | Zamalek SC | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2019-03-20 | El Mokawloon | Zamalek SC | Premier League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zamalek SC vs El Mokawloon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 30.1%, away 22.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 2.97 | 4.16 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.15 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.91 | 3.05 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 2.97 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.05 | 4.58 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .