Garuda Lions
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Egypt Premier League · ·Matchday 8

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry

Garuda Lions Prediction: National Bank of Egypt

1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.98.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Bet on National Bank of Egypt

Stadium National Bank of Egypt, Cairo

National Bank of Egypt 39%
Draw 30%
AL Masry 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance National Bank of Egypt wins
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
50%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
11% of simulated outcomes

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry overview

Garuda Lions analysis: National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNational Bank of EgyptDrawAL Masry
Model48.9%28.2%23.0%
Market35.7%30.1%34.2%
Final39.0%29.6%31.4%
Edge+3.3%-0.5%-2.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why National Bank of Egypt

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices National Bank of Egypt below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.69, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.9% per unit staked (our 39.0% × 2.69 − 1).

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry match preview

In the upcoming match between National Bank of Egypt and AL Masry, the probabilities indicate a slight edge for National Bank of Egypt at 49%, with a draw at 28% and AL Masry at 23%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of National Bank of Egypt, occurring at an 11% probability. Expected goals suggest National Bank of Egypt may score 1.53 while AL Masry is projected to net 0.98.

Recent form shows National Bank of Egypt with mixed results, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. In contrast, AL Masry has struggled, with two draws and three losses in their recent outings. The head-to-head record reveals that in their last encounter, AL Masry secured a victory, highlighting the competitive nature of this matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

National Bank ↓ / AL Masry → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

National Bank of Egypt and AL Masry expected goals

National Bank of Egypt 1.53
AL Masry 0.98

Total expected goals: 2.50

National Bank of Egypt and AL Masry attack and defence ratings

National Bank of Egypt

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.05 +5%

AL Masry

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 National Bank of Egypt 39.0% 2.56 +3.3% 2.69
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.3% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score No 50.0% 2.00 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.4% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.1% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2National Bank of Egypt39.0%
Draw29.6%
AL Masry31.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.7%
Under 2.554.3%
Both teams to scoreYes50.0%
No50.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.6%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)61.0%
Handicap -1National Bank of Egypt win25.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss51.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-011.3%
2-09.5%
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National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry stats

National Bank of Egypt and AL Masry recent form

newest first
National Bank of Egypt DWLWWL
AL Masry DDLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

National Bank of Egypt and AL Masry season so far

league record

National Bank of Egypt record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AL Masry record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3National Bank of Egypt wins 4Draws 3AL Masry wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-03National Bank of EgyptAL MasryEgypt Premier League0-1
2025-05-24National Bank of EgyptAL MasryPremier League0-1
2025-03-24National Bank of EgyptAL MasryLeague Cup1-1
2025-03-07National Bank of EgyptAL MasryCup3-1
2025-02-12AL MasryNational Bank of EgyptPremier League0-0
2024-08-09National Bank of EgyptAL MasryCup1-3
2024-05-16National Bank of EgyptAL MasryPremier League5-2
2024-01-17National Bank of EgyptAL MasryLeague Cup2-2
2023-11-05AL MasryNational Bank of EgyptPremier League0-4
2023-04-25National Bank of EgyptAL MasryPremier League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.7%, draw 30.1%, away 34.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.51 2.97 2.61
BetVictor 2.45 3.10 2.55
Betano 2.57 3.10 2.72
Betfair 2.63 3.10 2.70
Dafabet 2.55 3.05 2.65
Marathonbet 2.51 2.97 2.61
Pinnacle 2.69 3.02 2.80
William Hill 2.62 2.90 2.70
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Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.56 ▼ -0.01
X 3.04 ▲ +0.06
2 2.67 —

9 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 National Bank of Egypt Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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