AL Masry
vs
Abu Qair Semad
1 – 1 Full time
AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad
| Probability | AL Masry | Draw | Abu Qair Semad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.8% | 31.4% | 20.9% |
| Market | 61.1% | 24.8% | 14.1% |
| Final | 57.8% | 26.4% | 15.8% |
| Edge | -13.4% | +6.6% | +6.8% |
Why AL Masry
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AL Masry and Abu Qair Semad expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.06
AL Masry and Abu Qair Semad attack and defence ratings
AL Masry
Abu Qair Semad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad: result vs prediction
AL Masry 1 – 1 Abu Qair Semad
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC — team news & stats
- Enppi v El Mokawloon — match page
- Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC
- Masr vs Future FC
- Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt — team news & stats
- El Geish v Pyramids FC — match page
- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad — team news & stats
- Al Ahly v Olympic El Qanah — match page
Before and after this match
AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AL Masry | 57.8% | 1.73 | -13.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AL Masry | 57.8% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Abu Qair Semad | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | AL Masry win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 52.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.2% |
| 0-0 | 14.0% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad stats
AL Masry and Abu Qair Semad recent form
| AL Masry |
DLLLWW |
| Abu Qair Semad |
LLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AL Masry and Abu Qair Semad going into this match
AL Masry record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Abu Qair Semad record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They average 0.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-10 | Abu Qair Semad | AL Masry | Second League - Group C | 1-1 |
| 2021-10-14 | AL Masry | Abu Qair Semad | Second League - Group C | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.1%, draw 24.8%, away 14.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 3.68 | 7.17 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.50 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 3.85 | 6.10 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 3.95 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 3.68 | 6.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 3.94 | 7.43 |
| SBO | 1.45 | 3.58 | 5.61 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.70 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .