Egypt Premier League · ·Matchday 7

Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt

Garuda Lions Prediction: National Bank of Egypt

1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability

Cairo Military Academy Stadium, Cairo

Wadi Degla 33%
Draw 30%
National Bank of Egypt 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance National Bank of Egypt wins
37%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWadi DeglaDrawNational Bank of Egypt
Model36.8%27.4%35.8%
Market31.8%30.4%37.7%
Final33.1%29.7%37.2%
Edge+5.0%-3.0%-2.0%

Confidence: Low

Why National Bank of Egypt

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt match preview

Wadi Degla is set to face National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt Premier League on October 20, 2026. According to our model, Wadi Degla has a 33% chance of winning, while National Bank of Egypt has a 37% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of National Bank of Egypt, with an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 59%, and there is a 54% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.

In terms of recent form, Wadi Degla has recorded two draws, two losses, and one win in their last five matches. Conversely, National Bank of Egypt has won two and lost three in their recent outings. The expected goals are closely matched, with Wadi Degla at 1.43 and National Bank of Egypt at 1.40. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wadi Degla ↓ / National Bank → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Wadi Degla and National Bank of Egypt expected goals

Wadi Degla 1.43
National Bank of Egypt 1.41

Total expected goals: 2.84

Wadi Degla and National Bank of Egypt attack and defence ratings

Wadi Degla

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.12 +12%

National Bank of Egypt

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 National Bank of Egypt 37.2% 2.69 -2.0% 2.50
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.9% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.6% 1.71 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.3% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.2% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wadi Degla33.1%
Draw29.7%
National Bank of Egypt37.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.9%
Under 2.546.1%
Both teams to scoreYes58.6%
No41.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.8%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)66.9%
Handicap -1National Bank of Egypt win17.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss64.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
2-18.4%
1-28.3%

Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt stats

Wadi Degla and National Bank of Egypt recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wadi Degla and National Bank of Egypt season so far

league record

Wadi Degla record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

National Bank of Egypt record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Wadi Degla wins 3Draws 0National Bank of Egypt wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Wadi DeglaNational Bank of EgyptEgypt Premier League2-0
2026-01-05National Bank of EgyptWadi DeglaLeague Cup2-2
2025-09-24National Bank of EgyptWadi DeglaEgypt Premier League1-1
2021-04-07Wadi DeglaNational Bank of EgyptPremier League4-2
2021-02-11Wadi DeglaNational Bank of EgyptCup3-1
2020-12-12National Bank of EgyptWadi DeglaPremier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.8%, draw 30.4%, away 37.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.77 2.97 2.38
Bet365 2.90 2.90 2.45
BetVictor 2.80 3.00 2.30
Betano 2.87 3.10 2.45
Betfair 2.88 3.30 2.40
Dafabet 2.85 3.15 2.42
Marathonbet 2.77 2.97 2.38
Pinnacle 2.91 3.13 2.50
William Hill 2.88 2.90 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.87 ▼ -0.01
X 3.00 ▲ +0.03
2 2.42 ▼ -0.03

12 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 National Bank of Egypt Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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