Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 7

El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC

0 – 2 Full time

38′Saber Ashraf El Shimi
45′Mohamed Redamarwan essam
49′Mohamed Farouk
59′Mohamed FaroukAttidjikou Samadou
68′Michael EgbembaOmar El Gazar
68′Ziad El ShayatWilfried Parfait Wilfried Teukeu
70′Khaled El GhandourG. Chicoday
70′Mohamed Said MakronaFady Farid
75′Alaa ShaabanIslam Abou Slemma
76′Marwan Mohsen
82′Pape Abasse Badji
83′Ali GamalHesham Hafez
83′Abdel Ghani MohamedAbdelrahman Amer
86′Fady Farid
88′Marwan MohsenAhmed Gamal

El Gouna Stadium, El Guna

El Gouna FC 27%
Draw 35%
Smouha SC 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
35 Possession % 65
5 Corners 7
9 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
153 Accurate passes 369

El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEl Gouna FCDrawSmouha SC
Model35.2%37.4%27.4%
Market24.5%33.8%41.7%
Final27.2%34.7%38.1%
Edge+10.7%+3.6%-14.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Smouha SC

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

El Gouna FC ↓ / Smouha SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 13% 1 16% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 50%
3+ goals 22%
No goals 21%

El Gouna FC and Smouha SC expected goals

El Gouna FC 0.88
Smouha SC 0.75

Total expected goals: 1.63

El Gouna FC and Smouha SC attack and defence ratings

El Gouna FC

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Smouha SC

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC: result vs prediction

El Gouna FC 0 – 2 Smouha SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Smouha SC 38.1% 2.62 -14.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77.6% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score No 67.9% 1.47 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.6% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2El Gouna FC27.2%
Draw34.7%
Smouha SC38.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.522.4%
Under 2.577.6%
Both teams to scoreYes32.1%
No67.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.9%
12 (either side)65.3%
X2 (draw or away)72.8%
Handicap -1Smouha SC win8.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss72.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-020.9%
1-016.0%
1-114.2%

El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC stats

El Gouna FC and Smouha SC recent form

newest first
El Gouna FC LLLLDD
Smouha SC WWLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

El Gouna FC and Smouha SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

El Gouna FC record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Smouha SC record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4El Gouna FC wins 4Draws 2Smouha SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-27Smouha SCEl Gouna FCEgypt Premier League0-1
2025-04-28El Gouna FCSmouha SCPremier League1-1
2024-12-11El Gouna FCSmouha SCLeague Cup1-0
2024-12-01Smouha SCEl Gouna FCPremier League0-0
2024-04-17El Gouna FCSmouha SCPremier League1-0
2023-09-20Smouha SCEl Gouna FCPremier League1-1
2022-08-23Smouha SCEl Gouna FCPremier League2-2
2022-04-20El Gouna FCSmouha SCPremier League1-0
2022-01-21Smouha SCEl Gouna FCLeague Cup2-1
2021-08-21Smouha SCEl Gouna FCPremier League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.8%, draw 33.8%, away 41.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.75 2.67 2.15
Bet365 3.75 2.70 2.20
BetVictor 3.40 2.75 2.15
Betano 3.80 2.72 2.22
Betfair 3.60 2.80 2.30
Marathonbet 3.64 2.67 2.13
Pinnacle 3.99 2.72 2.32
William Hill 3.60 2.62 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.70 ▼ -0.03
X 2.69 ▲ +0.02
2 2.17 ▼ -0.11

11 snapshots recorded, from .