Asyut Petrol
vs
Zamalek SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zamalek SC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 21% model probability
Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC
| Probability | Asyut Petrol | Draw | Zamalek SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.2% | 32.0% | 54.7% |
| Market | 11.5% | 23.0% | 65.5% |
| Final | 11.9% | 25.3% | 62.8% |
| Edge | +1.8% | +9.0% | -10.8% |
Why Zamalek SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.49.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.44, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC match preview
Asyut Petrol faces Zamalek SC in the Egypt Premier League on October 20, 2026. According to our model, Asyut Petrol has a 14% chance of winning, while Zamalek SC is favored with a 55% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 20% likelihood. Asyut Petrol's expected goals stand at 0.52, contrasting with Zamalek SC's higher expectation of 1.29.
Recent form indicates that Asyut Petrol has struggled, with a record of one win in their last six matches (W-L-L-L-D-D). In contrast, Zamalek SC has been in strong form, winning their last six matches (L-W-W-W-W-W). The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 27%, and both teams scoring is projected at 30%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Asyut Petrol and Zamalek SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.74
Asyut Petrol and Zamalek SC attack and defence ratings
Asyut Petrol
Zamalek SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC — team news & stats
- AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad
- Enppi v El Mokawloon — match page
- Masr vs Future FC
- Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt — team news & stats
- El Geish v Pyramids FC — match page
- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad — team news & stats
- Al Ahly v Olympic El Qanah — match page
Before and after this match
Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zamalek SC | 62.8% | 1.59 | -10.8% | 1.44 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asyut Petrol | 11.9% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Zamalek SC | 62.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.6% |
| No | 71.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zamalek SC win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.4% | |
| Loss | 45.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 20.9% |
| 0-0 | 18.6% | |
| 0-2 | 13.8% |
Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC stats
Asyut Petrol and Zamalek SC recent form
| Asyut Petrol |
WLLLDD |
| Zamalek SC |
WLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Asyut Petrol and Zamalek SC season so far
Asyut Petrol record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Zamalek SC record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.5%, draw 23.0%, away 65.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.35 | 3.98 | 1.36 |
| Bet365 | 8.00 | 3.80 | 1.40 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 3.80 | 1.36 |
| Betano | 7.40 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 7.40 | 4.20 | 1.42 |
| Marathonbet | 7.90 | 3.98 | 1.35 |
| Pinnacle | 8.76 | 4.03 | 1.41 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 3.80 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .