Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol

1 – 2 Full time

43′Omar Ibrahim
56′Omar IbrahimMohamed Ashraf
56′Mostafa AbdelrehimQuaison Kofi Gideon
64′Ahmed KhaledMahmoud Abou-Gouda
64′Favour AkemMohamed Camara
66′Mohamed Eid
66′Abdel Rahman Kamal El KhamisiMostafa Ahmed Abdel Hamid
70′Mohamed AlaaAyman Abdelhamid El Gazar
74′Mohamed EidFathy Gamal
74′Ibrahim AbassAbou Bakr Fawzi
78′Mahmoud AlaaAhmed Magdy
78′Abdel Rahman Mohamed EissaKhaled Abdel Aal
81′Quaison Kofi Gideon
83′Fathy Gamal
90′Ali Hussein

Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria

Abu Qair Semad 38%
Draw 35%
Asyut Petrol 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
62 Possession % 38
6 Corners 7
14 Fouls 15
9 Offsides 2
2 Saves 2
378 Accurate passes 198

Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAbu Qair SemadDrawAsyut Petrol
Model25.1%40.8%34.0%
Market42.9%32.9%24.2%
Final38.4%34.9%26.7%
Edge-4.4%+2.0%+2.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Abu Qair Semad

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 5 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Abu Qair Semad ↓ / Asyut Petrol → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 26% 18% 1 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 74%
2+ goals 41%
3+ goals 16%
No goals 26%

Abu Qair Semad and Asyut Petrol expected goals

Abu Qair Semad 0.62
Asyut Petrol 0.76

Total expected goals: 1.38

Abu Qair Semad and Asyut Petrol attack and defence ratings

Abu Qair Semad

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Asyut Petrol

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol: result vs prediction

Abu Qair Semad 1 – 2 Asyut Petrol

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Abu Qair Semad 38.4% 2.60 -4.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83.8% 1.19 — —
Both teams to score No 74.2% 1.35 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.9% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Abu Qair Semad38.4%
Draw34.9%
Asyut Petrol26.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.516.2%
Under 2.583.8%
Both teams to scoreYes25.8%
No74.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.3%
12 (either side)65.1%
X2 (draw or away)61.6%
Handicap -1Abu Qair Semad win6.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss74.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-026.3%
0-118.0%
1-014.3%

Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol stats

Abu Qair Semad and Asyut Petrol recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Abu Qair Semad and Asyut Petrol going into this match

league record before kick-off

Abu Qair Semad record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Asyut Petrol record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.

Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Abu Qair Semad wins 3Draws 1Asyut Petrol wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-15Abu Qair SemadAsyut PetrolSecond League1-0
2025-08-30Asyut PetrolAbu Qair SemadSecond League0-0
2025-04-30Asyut PetrolAbu Qair SemadSecond League1-2
2024-12-23Abu Qair SemadAsyut PetrolSecond League0-0
2024-02-27Asyut PetrolAbu Qair SemadSecond League1-1
2023-12-18Asyut PetrolAbu Qair SemadSecond League2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.9%, draw 32.9%, away 24.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.03 2.77 3.96
Bet365 2.05 2.80 3.80
Betano 2.18 2.95 3.55
Betfair 2.15 3.00 3.70
Dafabet 2.15 2.95 3.60
Marathonbet 2.01 2.77 3.84
Pinnacle 2.19 2.84 4.15
SBO 2.08 2.75 3.26
William Hill 2.15 2.70 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.02
X 2.80 —
2 3.80 ▼ -0.04

13 snapshots recorded, from .