Al Ahly
vs
Abu Qair Semad
2 – 0 Full time
| 16′ | Zizo Sayed | ||
| 42′ | Omar El Saeey | ||
| 51′ | Mohamed Dabash | ||
| 67′ | Mohamed CamaraAhmed Khaled | ||
| 67′ | Omar IbrahimSeif Shika | ||
| 73′ | Achraf BencharkiAhmed Reda Hashem | ||
| 73′ | Emam AshourMonsef Bakrar | ||
| 74′ | Omar El SaeeyHussein El Shahat | ||
| 77′ | Mohamed Ashraf | ||
| 81′ | Mohamed Alaa | ||
| 87′ | Youssef HamdiEmad Hamdi | ||
| 87′ | Ali HusseinMahmoud Abou-Gouda | ||
| 89′ | Zizo SayedMohamed Magdy Afsha | ||
| 89′ | S. BenjdidaTaher Mohamed | ||
| 90′ | Marwan Attia | ||
| 90′ | Hussein El Shahat |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Offsides | 5 |
| 3 | Saves | 7 |
| 343 | Accurate passes | 218 |
Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad
| Probability | Al Ahly | Draw | Abu Qair Semad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.2% | 20.9% | 7.9% |
| Market | 77.4% | 15.9% | 6.7% |
| Final | 75.8% | 17.2% | 7.0% |
| Edge | -6.2% | +5.0% | +1.2% |
Why Al Ahly
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Ahly and Abu Qair Semad expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Al Ahly and Abu Qair Semad attack and defence ratings
Al Ahly
Abu Qair Semad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad: result vs prediction
Al Ahly 2 – 0 Abu Qair Semad
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahly | 75.8% | 1.32 | -6.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ahly win | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahly | 75.8% |
| Draw | 17.2% | |
| Abu Qair Semad | 7.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.8% |
| No | 64.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ahly win | 44.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 30.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 16.1% |
| 1-0 | 15.5% | |
| 3-0 | 10.6% |
Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad stats
Al Ahly and Abu Qair Semad recent form
| Al Ahly |
DWWWWW |
| Abu Qair Semad |
LLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-21 | Al Ahly | Abu Qair Semad | Cup | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.4%, draw 15.9%, away 6.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16 | 5.75 | 14.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 5.75 | 12.00 |
| Betano | 1.22 | 5.60 | 12.50 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 5.80 | 13.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20 | 6.53 | 15.33 |
| SBO | 1.21 | 4.94 | 8.68 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .