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Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Zamalek SC vs Abu Qair Semad

2 – 0 Full time

17′M. Ismail
41′Ahmed Rabia
43′Favour Akem
46′M. El SayedA. El Said
46′O. IbrahimM. Shehata
46′F. AkemS. Shika
52′G. KamelA. Dahesh
59′Seif Shika
73′M. Abou GoudaA. Hussein
75′Youssef Hamdi
75′O. DabbaghEsho
77′M. CamaraE. Fathi
82′A. RabieM. Gehad
82′H. AshrafA. Sherif
87′A. Sherif
89′C. BanzaA. Khodary
Zamalek SC 64%
Draw 23%
Abu Qair Semad 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
47 Possession % 53
4 Corners 3
14 Fouls 19
2 Offsides 2
5 Saves 2
242 Accurate passes 289

Zamalek SC vs Abu Qair Semad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zamalek SC vs Abu Qair Semad

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZamalek SCDrawAbu Qair Semad
Model60.8%28.7%10.4%
Market64.6%21.7%13.7%
Final63.7%23.4%12.9%
Edge-3.8%+7.1%-3.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Zamalek SC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.47.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zamalek SC ↓ / Abu Qair Semad → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 1 21% 11% 2 15% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 16%

Zamalek SC and Abu Qair Semad expected goals

Zamalek SC 1.41
Abu Qair Semad 0.47

Total expected goals: 1.88

Zamalek SC and Abu Qair Semad attack and defence ratings

Zamalek SC

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Abu Qair Semad

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zamalek SC vs Abu Qair Semad: result vs prediction

Zamalek SC 2 – 0 Abu Qair Semad

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Zamalek SC vs Abu Qair Semad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zamalek SC 63.7% 1.57 -3.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.1% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score No 71.7% 1.39 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.1% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.4% 2.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zamalek SC63.7%
Draw23.4%
Abu Qair Semad12.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.9%
Under 2.571.1%
Both teams to scoreYes28.3%
No71.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.1%
12 (either side)76.6%
X2 (draw or away)36.3%
Handicap -1Zamalek SC win31.1%
Push (exactly one goal)28.5%
Loss40.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-021.0%
0-016.3%
2-015.7%

Zamalek SC vs Abu Qair Semad stats

Zamalek SC and Abu Qair Semad recent form

newest first
Zamalek SC WWWDWW
Abu Qair Semad LLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zamalek SC vs Abu Qair Semad head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Zamalek SC wins 0Draws 0Abu Qair Semad wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-09Zamalek SCAbu Qair SemadCup2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zamalek SC vs Abu Qair Semad odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 64.6%, draw 21.7%, away 13.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.40 4.10 7.70
1xBet 1.40 4.20 6.80
Bet365 1.45 3.80 6.25
Betano 1.47 4.15 6.30
Betfair 1.40 4.33 7.00
Dafabet 1.46 4.20 6.40
Marathonbet 1.40 4.20 6.35
Pinnacle 1.48 4.06 7.73
SBO 1.36 3.98 6.38
Superbet 1.47 4.20 6.10
Unibet 1.38 4.30 7.50
William Hill 1.40 4.00 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▼ -0.01
X 4.18 ▲ +0.24
2 6.60 ▼ -1.30

3 snapshots recorded, from .