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Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish

1 – 1 Full time

45′M. Wayo
46′I. Ouro-AgoroK. Komlavi
46′M. El KhawagaA. Tarek
63′M. WayoM. Harsha
67′I. Mohareb
70′M. HamadaM. Sadek
70′H. IbrahimM. Antar
76′Arnaud Komlavi
78′K. TarekF. Hatem
79′M. HanyM. Hamdi
84′M. AtefKhaled Ramadan
84′I. MoharebM. Hany
85′Mohab Samy
90′Mohamed Hamdy Zaki
90′Khaled Abo Ziada
Olympic El Qanah 34%
Draw 34%
El Geish 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 1
41 Possession % 59
2 Corners 5
17 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 5
1 Saves 1
215 Accurate passes 347

Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOlympic El QanahDrawEl Geish
Model37.7%36.7%25.5%
Market32.4%33.5%34.1%
Final33.7%34.3%32.0%
Edge+5.3%+3.3%-8.6%

Confidence: Low

Why the draw

  • The market prices the draw below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Olympic El Qan ↓ / El Geish → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 12% 1 17% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 80%
2+ goals 51%
3+ goals 23%
No goals 20%

Olympic El Qanah and El Geish expected goals

Olympic El Qanah 0.94
El Geish 0.72

Total expected goals: 1.67

Olympic El Qanah and El Geish attack and defence ratings

Olympic El Qanah

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.86 -14%

El Geish

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish: result vs prediction

Olympic El Qanah 1 – 1 El Geish

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 34.3% 2.92 +3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 76.6% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score No 67.3% 1.49 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 68.0% 1.47 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.3% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Olympic El Qanah33.7%
Draw34.3%
El Geish32.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.523.4%
Under 2.576.6%
Both teams to scoreYes32.7%
No67.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.0%
12 (either side)65.7%
X2 (draw or away)66.3%
Handicap -1Olympic El Qanah win14.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss62.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-020.2%
1-016.5%
1-114.2%

Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish stats

Olympic El Qanah and El Geish recent form

newest first
Olympic El Qanah DDW
El Geish LWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Olympic El Qanah wins 2Draws 1El Geish wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-02-18El GeishOlympic El QanahCup3-1
2014-03-17Olympic El QanahEl GeishPremier League1-1
2013-12-29El GeishOlympic El QanahPremier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.4%, draw 33.5%, away 34.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.75 2.77 2.59
Bet365 2.75 2.62 2.62
BetVictor 2.75 2.70 2.60
Marathonbet 2.75 2.77 2.59
Pinnacle 3.07 2.54 2.91
William Hill 2.80 2.62 2.80

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.