Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 3

El Geish vs Masr

0 – 1 Full time

18′Ahmed Wahid
36′Amro Tarek
45′Ahmed Wahid
45′Ahmed Wahid
46′A. GoudaA. Bakri
59′M. HajijO. Khedr
63′Abdelrahman El Banouby
64′M. AtefEl Zoughbi
64′F. HatemI. Ouro-Agoro
65′Mahmoud Sayed OkaaF. Walid
65′Abdelrahman El SakranMessi
73′A. ZolaH. El Gabry
73′K. TarekK. Agbo
82′M. HusseinW. Nabhan
87′O. Khedr
90′A. TarekA. Tarek

Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium, Cairo

El Geish 38%
Draw 33%
Masr 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
42 Possession % 58
3 Corners 4
12 Fouls 21
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 4
208 Accurate passes 336

El Geish vs Masr overview

Garuda Lions analysis: El Geish vs Masr

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEl GeishDrawMasr
Model34.8%33.2%32.0%
Market39.6%33.2%27.2%
Final38.4%33.2%28.4%
Edge-4.8%+0.1%+4.7%

Confidence: Low

Why El Geish

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

El Geish ↓ / Masr → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 12% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 14%

El Geish and Masr expected goals

El Geish 1.05
Masr 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.04

El Geish and Masr attack and defence ratings

El Geish

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Masr

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

El Geish vs Masr: result vs prediction

El Geish 0 – 1 Masr

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

El Geish vs Masr markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 El Geish 38.4% 2.60 -4.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.7% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score No 57.9% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.2% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2El Geish38.4%
Draw33.2%
Masr28.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.3%
Under 2.566.7%
Both teams to scoreYes42.1%
No57.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.6%
12 (either side)66.8%
X2 (draw or away)61.6%
Handicap -1El Geish win14.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss65.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.9%
0-014.4%
1-012.3%

El Geish vs Masr stats

El Geish and Masr recent form

newest first
El Geish WWLLWL
Masr LDDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

El Geish vs Masr head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5El Geish wins 2Draws 3Masr wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22MasrEl GeishEgypt Premier League1-0
2026-03-18El GeishMasrCup1-3
2025-10-26El GeishMasrEgypt Premier League2-2
2025-05-02MasrEl GeishPremier League0-0
2025-02-18El GeishMasrPremier League1-0
2024-06-27MasrEl GeishPremier League4-1
2024-01-09MasrEl GeishLeague Cup0-1
2023-12-30El GeishMasrPremier League1-0
2020-10-19MasrEl GeishPremier League0-1
2020-02-04El GeishMasrPremier League4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

El Geish vs Masr odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 33.2%, away 27.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.30 2.80 3.35
1xBet 2.18 2.68 3.73
Bet365 2.10 2.90 3.40
BetVictor 2.15 2.75 3.40
Betano 2.47 2.77 3.15
Betfair 2.40 2.80 3.25
Dafabet 2.32 2.80 3.45
Marathonbet 2.48 2.60 3.10
Pinnacle 2.65 2.73 3.29
SBO 2.13 2.70 3.21
Superbet 2.45 2.75 3.25
Unibet 2.14 2.85 3.45
William Hill 2.25 2.62 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.14
X 2.75 ▼ -0.07
2 3.35 ▼ -0.40

4 snapshots recorded, from .