Masr
vs
Al Ahly
0 – 2 Full time
Masr vs Al Ahly overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Masr vs Al Ahly
| Probability | Masr | Draw | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.6% | 26.5% | 47.9% |
| Market | 13.4% | 23.1% | 63.5% |
| Final | 16.5% | 23.9% | 59.6% |
| Edge | +12.1% | +3.4% | -15.5% |
Why Al Ahly
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Masr and Al Ahly expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Masr and Al Ahly attack and defence ratings
Masr
Al Ahly
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Masr vs Al Ahly: result vs prediction
Masr 0 – 2 Al Ahly
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Masr vs Al Ahly markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahly | 59.6% | 1.68 | -15.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Masr | 16.5% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Al Ahly | 59.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ahly win | 22.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 57.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.6% |
Masr vs Al Ahly stats
Masr vs Al Ahly head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Al Ahly | Masr | Egypt Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-07 | Masr | Al Ahly | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-11 | Al Ahly | Masr | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-11 | Masr | Al Ahly | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-23 | Masr | Al Ahly | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2020-01-05 | Al Ahly | Masr | Premier League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Masr vs Al Ahly odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 13.4%, draw 23.1%, away 63.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 6.50 | 4.00 | 1.46 |
| 1xBet | 7.40 | 3.92 | 1.41 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 3.60 | 1.44 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 3.90 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 6.50 | 4.10 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 4.20 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 6.60 | 4.20 | 1.45 |
| Marathonbet | 7.10 | 3.92 | 1.40 |
| Pinnacle | 7.45 | 4.09 | 1.45 |
| Superbet | 6.30 | 4.15 | 1.46 |
| Unibet | 6.25 | 3.90 | 1.44 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 3.80 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .