Smouha SC
vs
Asyut Petrol
0 – 0 Full time
Smouha SC vs Asyut Petrol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Smouha SC vs Asyut Petrol
| Probability | Smouha SC | Draw | Asyut Petrol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.7% | 33.2% | 42.1% |
| Market | 57.0% | 28.3% | 14.7% |
| Final | 48.9% | 29.5% | 21.5% |
| Edge | -32.2% | +4.9% | +27.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Smouha SC and Asyut Petrol expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Smouha SC and Asyut Petrol attack and defence ratings
Smouha SC
Asyut Petrol
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Smouha SC vs Asyut Petrol: result vs prediction
Smouha SC 0 – 0 Asyut Petrol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Smouha SC vs Asyut Petrol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Smouha SC | 48.9% | 2.04 | -32.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Smouha SC | 48.9% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Asyut Petrol | 21.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.5% |
| No | 60.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Smouha SC win | 8.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 75.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.3% |
| 0-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Smouha SC vs Asyut Petrol stats
Smouha SC and Asyut Petrol recent form
| Smouha SC |
LLLLLL |
| Asyut Petrol |
D |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Smouha SC vs Asyut Petrol head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Smouha SC vs Asyut Petrol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.0%, draw 28.3%, away 14.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.63 | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 3.22 | 6.76 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.25 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.30 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.40 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.60 | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 3.22 | 6.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 3.38 | 7.11 |
| SBO | 1.55 | 3.16 | 5.32 |
| Superbet | 1.61 | 3.40 | 5.90 |
| Unibet | 1.61 | 3.15 | 5.80 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.10 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .