Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 2

El Mokawloon vs AL Masry

2 – 3 Full time

Arab Contractors Stadium, CairoReferee: I. Mohamed

El Mokawloon 31%
Draw 32%
AL Masry 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

El Mokawloon vs AL Masry overview

Garuda Lions analysis: El Mokawloon vs AL Masry

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEl MokawloonDrawAL Masry
Model40.4%32.0%27.6%
Market27.7%32.6%39.7%
Final30.9%32.5%36.7%
Edge+12.8%-0.6%-12.1%

Confidence: Low

Why AL Masry

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

El Mokawloon ↓ / AL Masry → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 11% 1 14% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

El Mokawloon and AL Masry expected goals

El Mokawloon 1.10
AL Masry 0.88

Total expected goals: 1.97

El Mokawloon and AL Masry attack and defence ratings

El Mokawloon

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.92 -8%

AL Masry

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

El Mokawloon vs AL Masry: result vs prediction

El Mokawloon 2 – 3 AL Masry

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

El Mokawloon vs AL Masry markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AL Masry 36.7% 2.73 -12.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.0% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 56.1% 1.78 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 69.1% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.6% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2El Mokawloon30.9%
Draw32.5%
AL Masry36.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.0%
Under 2.564.0%
Both teams to scoreYes43.9%
No56.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.3%
12 (either side)67.5%
X2 (draw or away)69.1%
Handicap -1AL Masry win9.7%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss72.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-013.1%
1-012.8%

El Mokawloon vs AL Masry stats

El Mokawloon and AL Masry recent form

newest first
El Mokawloon LWDDDW
AL Masry WLWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

El Mokawloon vs AL Masry head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2El Mokawloon wins 4Draws 4AL Masry wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-19El MokawloonAL MasryEgypt Premier League1-1
2024-07-21AL MasryEl MokawloonPremier League1-1
2024-02-26El MokawloonAL MasryPremier League0-1
2024-01-09AL MasryEl MokawloonLeague Cup1-0
2023-04-13El MokawloonAL MasryPremier League0-0
2022-12-21AL MasryEl MokawloonPremier League2-2
2022-08-30El MokawloonAL MasryPremier League2-1
2022-05-01AL MasryEl MokawloonPremier League0-2
2021-08-08AL MasryEl MokawloonPremier League3-1
2021-02-06El MokawloonAL MasryPremier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

El Mokawloon vs AL Masry odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 32.6%, away 39.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.30 2.88 2.28
1xBet 3.38 2.71 2.30
Bet365 3.40 2.70 2.20
BetVictor 3.13 2.80 2.25
Betano 3.30 2.85 2.35
Betfair 3.25 3.00 2.30
Dafabet 3.35 2.85 2.33
Marathonbet 3.30 2.71 2.28
Pinnacle 3.53 2.87 2.40
SBO 3.16 2.71 2.15
Superbet 3.30 2.85 2.35
Unibet 3.20 2.75 2.28
William Hill 3.30 2.70 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 ▼ -0.12
X 2.80 ▲ +0.05
2 2.30 ▼ -0.01

11 snapshots recorded, from .