AL Masry
vs
Smouha SC
1 – 0 Full time
AL Masry vs Smouha SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AL Masry vs Smouha SC
| Probability | AL Masry | Draw | Smouha SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 30.7% | 27.1% |
| Market | 40.0% | 32.4% | 27.5% |
| Final | 40.6% | 32.0% | 27.4% |
| Edge | +2.2% | -1.8% | -0.4% |
Why AL Masry
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices AL Masry below the model: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AL Masry and Smouha SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
AL Masry and Smouha SC attack and defence ratings
AL Masry
Smouha SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AL Masry vs Smouha SC: result vs prediction
AL Masry 1 – 0 Smouha SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
AL Masry vs Smouha SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AL Masry | 40.6% | 2.46 | +2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AL Masry | 40.6% |
| Draw | 32.0% | |
| Smouha SC | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.8% |
| No | 53.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | AL Masry win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
AL Masry vs Smouha SC stats
AL Masry vs Smouha SC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Smouha SC | AL Masry | Egypt Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-22 | AL Masry | Smouha SC | Egypt Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AL Masry vs Smouha SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 32.3%, away 27.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.98 | 2.92 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 2.79 | 3.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 2.80 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 2.98 | 3.61 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 2.78 | 2.95 |
| Superbet | 2.32 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 2.75 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.80 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .