Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 1

Al Ahly vs Enppi

3 – 2 Full time

Cairo International Stadium, CairoReferee: M. Nagy

Al Ahly 64%
Draw 24%
Enppi 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Al Ahly vs Enppi overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Ahly vs Enppi

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl AhlyDrawEnppi
Model65.0%21.6%13.4%
Market63.5%24.3%12.2%
Final63.8%23.6%12.5%
Edge+1.5%-2.7%+1.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Al Ahly

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Ahly ↓ / Enppi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 11% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Al Ahly and Enppi expected goals

Al Ahly 2.00
Enppi 0.98

Total expected goals: 2.98

Al Ahly and Enppi attack and defence ratings

Al Ahly

Attack 1.48 +48%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Enppi

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Ahly vs Enppi: result vs prediction

Al Ahly 3 – 2 Enppi

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 1 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Al Ahly vs Enppi markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Ahly 63.8% 1.57 +1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.7% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.5% 1.94 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.5% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.8% 2.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Ahly63.8%
Draw23.6%
Enppi12.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.7%
Under 2.543.3%
Both teams to scoreYes51.5%
No48.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.5%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)36.2%
Handicap -1Al Ahly win37.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss39.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.4%
1-110.3%
1-010.0%

Al Ahly vs Enppi stats

Al Ahly and Enppi recent form

newest first
Al Ahly WWWLWD
Enppi LLDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Ahly vs Enppi head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Al Ahly wins 1Draws 0Enppi wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-05Al AhlyEnppiEgypt Premier League3-0
2025-09-14EnppiAl AhlyEgypt Premier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Ahly vs Enppi odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.6%, draw 24.3%, away 12.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.39 3.95 8.50
1xBet 1.41 3.74 8.15
Bet365 1.42 3.60 7.00
BetVictor 1.40 3.70 7.50
Betano 1.47 3.80 7.20
Betfair 1.44 4.00 8.00
Dafabet 1.46 3.90 7.40
Marathonbet 1.40 3.74 7.80
Pinnacle 1.47 3.99 8.36
SBO 1.40 3.57 6.57
Superbet 1.47 3.90 6.90
Unibet 1.43 3.75 7.00
William Hill 1.44 3.70 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.44 ▲ +0.05
X 3.75 ▼ -0.38
2 7.45 ▼ -0.60

3 snapshots recorded, from .