El Geish
vs
El Mokawloon
1 – 0 Full time
El Geish vs El Mokawloon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: El Geish vs El Mokawloon
| Probability | El Geish | Draw | El Mokawloon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.8% | 35.1% | 43.1% |
| Market | 35.4% | 35.0% | 29.7% |
| Final | 32.0% | 35.0% | 33.0% |
| Edge | -13.6% | +0.2% | +13.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
El Geish and El Mokawloon expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.74
El Geish and El Mokawloon attack and defence ratings
El Geish
El Mokawloon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
El Geish vs El Mokawloon: result vs prediction
El Geish 1 – 0 El Mokawloon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
El Geish vs El Mokawloon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 35.0% | 2.86 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Geish | 32.0% |
| Draw | 35.0% | |
| El Mokawloon | 33.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.5% |
| No | 66.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | El Mokawloon win | 18.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 56.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.8% |
| 0-1 | 17.4% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
El Geish vs El Mokawloon stats
El Geish and El Mokawloon recent form
| El Geish |
LLWLWD |
| El Mokawloon |
WDDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
El Geish vs El Mokawloon head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | El Mokawloon | El Geish | Egypt Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-23 | El Geish | El Mokawloon | Egypt Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
El Geish vs El Mokawloon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.4%, draw 35.0%, away 29.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.80 | 2.66 | 2.80 |
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 2.56 | 3.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 2.62 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 2.63 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 2.70 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 2.75 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 2.65 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.48 | 2.56 | 3.16 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60 | 2.68 | 3.44 |
| SBO | 2.36 | 2.59 | 2.93 |
| Superbet | 2.62 | 2.67 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 2.65 | 2.55 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 2.50 | 3.20 |