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Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 2

Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra

1 – 3 Full time

Borg El Arab Stadium, AlexandriaReferee: M. Nasef

Al Ittihad 30%
Draw 33%
Ceramica Cleopatra 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl IttihadDrawCeramica Cleopatra
Model38.4%32.0%29.6%
Market27.6%34.0%38.4%
Final30.3%33.5%36.2%
Edge+10.8%-1.9%-8.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Ittihad ↓ / Ceramica Cleop → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Al Ittihad and Ceramica Cleopatra expected goals

Al Ittihad 1.16
Ceramica Cleopatra 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.15

Al Ittihad and Ceramica Cleopatra attack and defence ratings

Al Ittihad

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Ceramica Cleopatra

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra: result vs prediction

Al Ittihad 1 – 3 Ceramica Cleopatra

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ceramica Cleopatra 36.2% 2.76 -8.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.5% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 69.7% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.4% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Ittihad30.3%
Draw33.5%
Ceramica Cleopatra36.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.5%
Under 2.563.5%
Both teams to scoreYes44.5%
No55.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.8%
12 (either side)66.5%
X2 (draw or away)69.7%
Handicap -1Ceramica Cleopatra win11.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss70.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.9%
1-012.2%

Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra stats

Al Ittihad and Ceramica Cleopatra recent form

newest first
Al Ittihad DDWLWD
Ceramica Cleopatra LLDLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Al Ittihad wins 4Draws 4Ceramica Cleopatra wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-21Ceramica CleopatraAl IttihadEgypt Premier League3-1
2025-01-22Ceramica CleopatraAl IttihadPremier League1-1
2024-04-18Ceramica CleopatraAl IttihadPremier League1-1
2024-02-06Al IttihadCeramica CleopatraLeague Cup0-1
2023-09-21Al IttihadCeramica CleopatraPremier League1-0
2023-06-26Ceramica CleopatraAl IttihadLeague Cup0-0
2023-04-20Ceramica CleopatraAl IttihadPremier League0-0
2022-12-23Al IttihadCeramica CleopatraPremier League1-0
2022-07-14Ceramica CleopatraAl IttihadPremier League5-0
2022-03-12Ceramica CleopatraAl IttihadCup2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.6%, draw 34.0%, away 38.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.30 2.74 2.36
1xBet 3.42 2.59 2.37
Bet365 3.25 2.70 2.30
BetVictor 3.13 2.75 2.30
Betano 3.35 2.72 2.40
Betfair 3.30 2.80 2.40
Dafabet 3.40 2.70 2.40
Marathonbet 3.34 2.59 2.35
Pinnacle 3.56 2.68 2.45
Superbet 3.35 2.72 2.40
Unibet 3.30 2.70 2.28
William Hill 3.25 2.62 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.32 ▼ -0.03
X 2.70 ▲ +0.02
2 2.38 ▲ +0.01

10 snapshots recorded, from .