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Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad

0 – 2 Full time

33′Mohamed Alaa
46′K. SemakulaM. Emad
46′J. ArumalaN. Alaa
62′R. MiladOcha
62′M. ShehataA. Hussein
62′S. ShikaF. Akem
68′H. Hassan
69′Hossam Hassan
75′Y. HamdiE. Hamdi
75′M. TonyA. Atef
75′P. PhiriY. Wahid
76′I. AshrafA. Dahesh
84′H. HassanJ. Ebuka
90′S. Isaac

Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria

Abu Qair Semad 30%
Draw 35%
Al Ittihad 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
45 Possession % 55
5 Corners 9
12 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 3
3 Saves 2
263 Accurate passes 373

Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAbu Qair SemadDrawAl Ittihad
Model32.5%33.5%34.0%
Market29.5%35.2%35.3%
Final30.2%34.8%35.0%
Edge+3.0%-1.7%-1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Al Ittihad

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Abu Qair Semad ↓ / Al Ittihad → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 12% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 15%

Abu Qair Semad and Al Ittihad expected goals

Abu Qair Semad 0.99
Al Ittihad 1.02

Total expected goals: 2.01

Abu Qair Semad and Al Ittihad attack and defence ratings

Abu Qair Semad

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Al Ittihad

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad: result vs prediction

Abu Qair Semad 0 – 2 Al Ittihad

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Ittihad 35.0% 2.86 -1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.5% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score No 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 69.8% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.0% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Abu Qair Semad30.2%
Draw34.8%
Al Ittihad35.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.5%
Under 2.567.5%
Both teams to scoreYes41.5%
No58.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.0%
12 (either side)65.2%
X2 (draw or away)69.8%
Handicap -1Al Ittihad win13.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss66.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.9%
0-014.8%
0-112.3%

Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad stats

Abu Qair Semad and Al Ittihad recent form

newest first
Abu Qair Semad LW
Al Ittihad LDDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Abu Qair Semad wins 1Draws 0Al Ittihad wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-06-02Al IttihadAbu Qair SemadCup0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.5%, draw 35.2%, away 35.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.10 2.64 2.56
1xBet 3.20 2.38 2.72
Bet365 3.00 2.62 2.45
Betano 3.20 2.62 2.60
Betfair 3.10 2.70 2.63
Dafabet 3.15 2.60 2.60
Marathonbet 3.28 2.39 2.58
Pinnacle 3.47 2.47 2.82
SBO 2.95 2.61 2.32
Superbet 3.15 2.62 2.62
Unibet 3.00 2.70 2.63
William Hill 3.00 2.50 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.12 ▲ +0.05
X 2.62 ▼ -0.09
2 2.61 ▲ +0.04

3 snapshots recorded, from .