Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 3

El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon

0 – 1 Full time

44′M. Gamal
46′M. RefaatO. Kamal
55′T. OjoM. Reda
58′Shady Hussein
66′S. HusseinM. Sandouqa
72′Idrissa Thiam
75′M. MohsenA. Zaki
76′A. MasoudI. Emad
76′A. GamalD. Simukonda
81′I. ThiamI. Adel
90′M. EgbembaR. Salah

Khaled Bichara Stadium, El Gouna

El Gouna FC 33%
Draw 35%
El Mokawloon 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
65 Possession % 35
8 Corners 3
4 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
4 Saves 2
382 Accurate passes 152

El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon overview

Garuda Lions analysis: El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEl Gouna FCDrawEl Mokawloon
Model34.9%32.6%32.5%
Market32.8%35.3%31.9%
Final33.3%34.6%32.0%
Edge+2.1%-2.7%+0.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

El Gouna FC ↓ / El Mokawloon → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 11% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

El Gouna FC and El Mokawloon expected goals

El Gouna FC 1.08
El Mokawloon 1.03

Total expected goals: 2.10

El Gouna FC and El Mokawloon attack and defence ratings

El Gouna FC

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.89 -11%

El Mokawloon

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon: result vs prediction

El Gouna FC 0 – 1 El Mokawloon

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 34.6% 2.89 -2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.8% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score No 56.3% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 68.0% 1.47 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.1% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2El Gouna FC33.3%
Draw34.6%
El Mokawloon32.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.2%
Under 2.564.8%
Both teams to scoreYes43.7%
No56.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.0%
12 (either side)65.4%
X2 (draw or away)66.7%
Handicap -1El Gouna FC win14.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss65.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.5%
1-011.8%

El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon stats

El Gouna FC and El Mokawloon recent form

newest first
El Gouna FC DDWWDL
El Mokawloon LLWDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2El Gouna FC wins 3Draws 5El Mokawloon wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-08El MokawloonEl Gouna FCEgypt Premier League1-0
2026-02-23El Gouna FCEl MokawloonEgypt Premier League1-1
2024-08-18El MokawloonEl Gouna FCPremier League0-1
2024-04-03El Gouna FCEl MokawloonPremier League1-2
2024-01-15El MokawloonEl Gouna FCLeague Cup1-1
2022-08-10El MokawloonEl Gouna FCPremier League0-0
2022-07-01El MokawloonEl Gouna FCCup2-0
2022-03-16El Gouna FCEl MokawloonPremier League1-2
2022-01-17El Gouna FCEl MokawloonLeague Cup1-0
2021-08-12El MokawloonEl Gouna FCPremier League2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 35.3%, away 31.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.78 2.68 2.82
1xBet 2.80 2.45 2.91
Bet365 2.55 2.80 2.70
BetVictor 2.70 2.60 2.75
Betano 2.82 2.65 2.87
Betfair 2.80 2.70 2.88
Dafabet 2.85 2.60 2.90
Marathonbet 2.80 2.45 2.91
Pinnacle 3.02 2.55 3.09
SBO 2.61 2.54 2.66
Superbet 2.82 2.62 2.90
Unibet 2.60 2.70 2.85
William Hill 2.90 2.45 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 —
X 2.60 ▼ -0.01
2 2.88 ▲ +0.03

6 snapshots recorded, from .