El Gouna FC
vs
El Mokawloon
0 – 1 Full time
| 44′ | M. Gamal | ||
| 46′ | M. RefaatO. Kamal | ||
| 55′ | T. OjoM. Reda | ||
| 58′ | Shady Hussein | ||
| 66′ | S. HusseinM. Sandouqa | ||
| 72′ | Idrissa Thiam | ||
| 75′ | M. MohsenA. Zaki | ||
| 76′ | A. MasoudI. Emad | ||
| 76′ | A. GamalD. Simukonda | ||
| 81′ | I. ThiamI. Adel | ||
| 90′ | M. EgbembaR. Salah |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 382 | Accurate passes | 152 |
El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon
| Probability | El Gouna FC | Draw | El Mokawloon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.9% | 32.6% | 32.5% |
| Market | 32.8% | 35.3% | 31.9% |
| Final | 33.3% | 34.6% | 32.0% |
| Edge | +2.1% | -2.7% | +0.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
El Gouna FC and El Mokawloon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.10
El Gouna FC and El Mokawloon attack and defence ratings
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon: result vs prediction
El Gouna FC 0 – 1 El Mokawloon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 34.6% | 2.89 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Gouna FC | 33.3% |
| Draw | 34.6% | |
| El Mokawloon | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.7% |
| No | 56.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | El Gouna FC win | 14.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.5% | |
| 1-0 | 11.8% |
El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon stats
El Gouna FC and El Mokawloon recent form
| DDWWDL | |
| LLWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | El Mokawloon | El Gouna FC | Egypt Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-23 | El Gouna FC | El Mokawloon | Egypt Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-18 | El Mokawloon | El Gouna FC | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-03 | El Gouna FC | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-15 | El Mokawloon | El Gouna FC | League Cup | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-10 | El Mokawloon | El Gouna FC | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-01 | El Mokawloon | El Gouna FC | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2022-03-16 | El Gouna FC | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2022-01-17 | El Gouna FC | El Mokawloon | League Cup | 1-0 |
| 2021-08-12 | El Mokawloon | El Gouna FC | Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 35.3%, away 31.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.78 | 2.68 | 2.82 |
| 1xBet | 2.80 | 2.45 | 2.91 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 2.80 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.82 | 2.65 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 2.70 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 2.60 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.80 | 2.45 | 2.91 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02 | 2.55 | 3.09 |
| SBO | 2.61 | 2.54 | 2.66 |
| Superbet | 2.82 | 2.62 | 2.90 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 2.70 | 2.85 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.45 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .