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Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Pyramids FC vs El Gouna FC

1 – 0 Full time

41′D. SimukondaM. Egbemba
41′A. TurayW. Parfait Teukeu
56′A. Khaled
63′M. ChibiM. Hamdi
63′K. HafezK. Awad
63′M. FathiN. Benbouali
65′A. ZakiM. Mohsen
65′N. El SayedS. Zayed
75′A. AbdelkaderM. Ziko
85′OttaA. Tawfik
85′O. El GazarM. Reda
90′Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali

30 June Stadium, Cairo

Pyramids FC 64%
Draw 25%
El Gouna FC 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
68 Possession % 32
12 Corners 0
7 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 0
2 Saves 4
450 Accurate passes 184

Pyramids FC vs El Gouna FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pyramids FC vs El Gouna FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPyramids FCDrawEl Gouna FC
Model57.7%28.3%14.0%
Market65.5%23.7%10.8%
Final63.6%24.8%11.6%
Edge-7.8%+4.6%+3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Pyramids FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.61.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pyramids FC ↓ / El Gouna FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 1 17% 12% 2 13% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Pyramids FC and El Gouna FC expected goals

Pyramids FC 1.46
El Gouna FC 0.61

Total expected goals: 2.07

Pyramids FC and El Gouna FC attack and defence ratings

Pyramids FC

Attack 1.53 +53%
Defence 0.68 -32%

El Gouna FC

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pyramids FC vs El Gouna FC: result vs prediction

Pyramids FC 1 – 0 El Gouna FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Pyramids FC vs El Gouna FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Pyramids FC 63.6% 1.57 -7.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.8% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score No 63.4% 1.58 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.4% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.2% 2.32 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pyramids FC63.6%
Draw24.8%
El Gouna FC11.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.2%
Under 2.564.8%
Both teams to scoreYes36.6%
No63.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.4%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)36.4%
Handicap -1Pyramids FC win30.0%
Push (exactly one goal)26.8%
Loss43.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.1%
2-013.6%
0-013.3%

Pyramids FC vs El Gouna FC stats

Pyramids FC and El Gouna FC recent form

newest first
Pyramids FC WWWWWD
El Gouna FC LDDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pyramids FC vs El Gouna FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Pyramids FC wins 1Draws 2El Gouna FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-28Pyramids FCEl Gouna FCEgypt Premier League1-1
2026-01-20El Gouna FCPyramids FCCup0-3
2025-12-20El Gouna FCPyramids FCLeague Cup2-0
2024-12-30El Gouna FCPyramids FCPremier League0-1
2024-08-21Pyramids FCEl Gouna FCCup4-0
2024-05-27Pyramids FCEl Gouna FCPremier League1-0
2024-04-09El Gouna FCPyramids FCPremier League0-4
2022-08-30Pyramids FCEl Gouna FCPremier League1-3
2022-05-01El Gouna FCPyramids FCPremier League1-2
2021-08-16El Gouna FCPyramids FCPremier League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Pyramids FC vs El Gouna FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.5%, draw 23.7%, away 10.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.38 3.75 10.00
1xBet 1.37 3.78 9.45
Bet365 1.40 3.90 7.00
BetVictor 1.36 3.70 8.50
Betano 1.44 3.85 8.00
Betfair 1.40 4.00 8.50
Dafabet 1.41 4.00 8.40
Marathonbet 1.35 3.82 9.30
Pinnacle 1.42 4.05 9.91
Superbet 1.41 4.00 7.70
Unibet 1.35 4.30 9.00
William Hill 1.44 3.70 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▼ -0.04
X 3.88 ▲ +0.29
2 8.50 ▲ +0.25

13 snapshots recorded, from .