Egypt Premier League · 2026-09-08T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 4

Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra

0 – 2 Full time

14′			Pape Badji
14′			Ahmed Ramadan
19′			Samir Fekri
45′			Mohamed Kone
49′			S. El Eraki
57′			H. El Sayed
63′			N. GradisarN. Ragab
67′			P. BadjiF. Farid
67′			MakaronaE. Nweke
73′			BoboF. El Henawy
73′			S. El ErakiK. Al Nabris
80′			S. FekriA. Mohamed
80′			K. MohamedM. Hamdi
87′			K. El GhandourH. Balaha
87′			A. BelhadjiA. Magdy
87′			K. AmrA. El Solia

Smouha SC

24%

Draw

32%

Ceramica Cleopatra

44%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

9	Shots	5
3	Shots on target	3
48	Possession %	52
4	Corners	3
7	Fouls	13
7	Offsides	3
1	Saves	3
286	Accurate passes	351

Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Smouha SC	Draw	Ceramica Cleopatra
Model	16.9%	30.9%	52.2%
Market	26.3%	32.8%	40.9%
Final	23.9%	32.4%	43.7%
Edge	-9.3%	-2.0%	+11.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Ceramica Cleopatra

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.65.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
The market prices Ceramica Cleopatra below the model: +11.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

85%

2+ goals

60%

3+ goals

32%

No goals

15%

Smouha SC and Ceramica Cleopatra expected goals

Smouha SC

0.65

Ceramica Cleopatra

1.34

Total expected goals: 1.99

Smouha SC and Ceramica Cleopatra attack and defence ratings

Smouha SC

Attack

0.61 -39%

Defence

1.07 +7%

Ceramica Cleopatra

Attack

1.26 +26%

Defence

1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra: result vs prediction

Smouha SC 0 – 2 Ceramica Cleopatra

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Al Ittihad vs Asyut Petrol — team news & stats · 2026-09-07
Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish · 2026-09-07
Petrojet v AL Masry — match page · 2026-09-07
National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla — team news & stats · 2026-09-07
Zamalek SC v Abu Qair Semad — match page · 2026-09-08
Pyramids FC vs El Gouna FC · 2026-09-09
Future FC vs Wadi Degla · 2026-09-09
Enppi v Masr — match page · 2026-09-09

Before and after this match

Smouha SC, previous: Al Ahly vs Smouha SC prediction
Smouha SC, next: El Geish v Smouha SC analysis
Ceramica Cleopatra, previous: Ceramica Cleopatra v Future FC analysis
Ceramica Cleopatra, next: Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt prediction

Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Ceramica Cleopatra	43.7%	2.29	+11.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	68.1%	1.47	—	—
Both teams to score	No	63.6%	1.57	—	—
Double chance	X2 (draw or away)	76.1%	1.31	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	47.8%	2.09	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Smouha SC	23.9%
	Draw	32.4%
	Ceramica Cleopatra	43.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	31.9%
	Under 2.5	68.1%
Both teams to score	Yes	36.4%
	No	63.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	56.3%
	12 (either side)	67.6%
	X2 (draw or away)	76.1%
Handicap -1	Ceramica Cleopatra win	25.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	26.4%
	Loss	47.8%
Correct score (top 3)	0-1	17.2%
	0-0	14.9%
	1-1	13.1%

Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra stats

Smouha SC and Ceramica Cleopatra recent form

newest first

Smouha SC	LDLLLL
Ceramica Cleopatra	WWLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Smouha SC wins 3Draws 3Ceramica Cleopatra wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-22	Smouha SC	Ceramica Cleopatra	Egypt Premier League	0-2
2025-09-13	Ceramica Cleopatra	Smouha SC	Egypt Premier League	1-0
2025-02-02	Ceramica Cleopatra	Smouha SC	Premier League	0-1
2024-08-12	Ceramica Cleopatra	Smouha SC	Premier League	0-1
2024-03-10	Smouha SC	Ceramica Cleopatra	Premier League	1-0
2024-02-01	Ceramica Cleopatra	Smouha SC	League Cup	2-0
2023-06-07	Smouha SC	Ceramica Cleopatra	Premier League	2-2
2023-03-21	Ceramica Cleopatra	Smouha SC	League Cup	1-1
2023-01-20	Ceramica Cleopatra	Smouha SC	Premier League	0-2
2022-08-04	Smouha SC	Ceramica Cleopatra	Premier League	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.3%, draw 32.8%, away 40.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	3.35	2.72	2.36
1xBet	3.62	2.77	2.16
Bet365	3.40	2.75	2.15
BetVictor	3.50	2.80	2.10
Betano	3.65	2.80	2.22
Betfair	3.50	2.88	2.25
Dafabet	3.30	2.85	2.37
Marathonbet	3.65	2.79	2.09
Pinnacle	3.91	2.82	2.09
SBO	3.00	2.65	2.28
Superbet	3.55	2.80	2.25
Unibet	3.25	2.80	2.32
William Hill	3.50	2.70	2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 ▲ +0.36

X 2.80 ▲ +0.05

2 2.25 ▼ -0.15

10 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-04T08:10:01Z.