Egypt Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
El Geish
vs
Smouha SC
0 – 1 Full time
| 31′ | Yehia Mostafa | ||
| 38′ | Amr El Sisi | ||
| 38′ | Mohamed Atef | ||
| 40′ | Yehia Mostafa | ||
| 45′ | Kone MohamedSamir Fekri | ||
| 45′ | Amr El SisiKhaled El Ghandour | ||
| 62′ | Mohamed Said Makrona | ||
| 65′ | Abdel Ghani MohamedAbdelrahman Amer | ||
| 69′ | Mostafa KhawagaAhmed Tarek | ||
| 69′ | Mohamed AtefAhmed Abdel Rahman Zola | ||
| 70′ | Fares HatemKomlavi Komi | ||
| 74′ | Hesham HafezG. Chicoday | ||
| 76′ | Khaled Sotohi | ||
| 81′ | Karim TarekI. Ouro-Agoro | ||
| 81′ | Mohamed Said MakronaAli Gamal | ||
| 86′ | G. Chicoday | ||
| 87′ | Islam MoharebHoussem Eddine Souissi | ||
| 90′ | Zaghloul Mohamed |
El Geish
39%
Draw
37%
Smouha SC
24%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 5 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 207 | Accurate passes | 326 |
El Geish vs Smouha SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: El Geish vs Smouha SC
| Probability | El Geish | Draw | Smouha SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.6% | 35.9% | 16.5% |
| Market | 35.6% | 37.4% | 27.1% |
| Final | 38.6% | 37.0% | 24.4% |
| Edge | +12.0% | -1.4% | -10.5% |
Why El Geish
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.06 vs 0.51.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices El Geish below the model: +12.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
78%
2+ goals
48%
3+ goals
21%
No goals
22%
El Geish and Smouha SC expected goals
El Geish
1.06
Smouha SC
0.51
Total expected goals: 1.57
El Geish and Smouha SC attack and defence ratings
El Geish
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Smouha SC
Attack
0.54 -46%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
El Geish vs Smouha SC: result vs prediction
El Geish 0 – 1 Smouha SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt — team news & stats
- Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon
- Asyut Petrol v Future FC — match page
- AL Masry vs Al Ittihad — team news & stats
- Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad
- El Gouna FC v Petrojet — match page
- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek SC
- Masr v Olympic El Qanah — match page
Before and after this match
El Geish vs Smouha SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Geish | 38.6% | 2.59 | +12.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Geish | 38.6% |
| Draw | 37.0% | |
| Smouha SC | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.3% |
| No | 72.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | El Geish win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.4% | |
| Loss | 52.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.9% |
| 1-0 | 20.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.4% |
El Geish vs Smouha SC stats
El Geish vs Smouha SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1El Geish wins
5Draws
4Smouha SC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-09 | Smouha SC | El Geish | Egypt Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-06 | Smouha SC | El Geish | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-23 | El Geish | Smouha SC | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-06-22 | El Geish | Smouha SC | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2023-12-27 | Smouha SC | El Geish | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-06-03 | El Geish | Smouha SC | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2023-01-11 | Smouha SC | El Geish | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2022-06-17 | El Geish | Smouha SC | Premier League | 3-3 |
| 2021-12-25 | Smouha SC | El Geish | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2021-08-13 | Smouha SC | El Geish | Premier League | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
El Geish vs Smouha SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.4%, draw 37.3%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.55 | 2.39 | 3.47 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 2.60 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 2.63 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 2.42 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.53 | 2.39 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76 | 2.42 | 3.67 |
| SBO | 2.37 | 2.62 | 2.87 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 2.75 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 2.38 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.54 ▼ -0.18
X
2.42 —
2
3.34 ▲ +0.21
11 snapshots recorded, from .