Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

El Gouna FC vs Petrojet

1 – 2 Full time

25′Mostafa El-Badry
33′Mohamed Ali Osman
45′Omar El GazarTolulope Samuel Ojo
45′Salah ZayedAlaa Shaaban
45′Ahmed Gamalmarwan essam
61′Adham HamedAbdel Rahman Hamawy
61′Badr Yousef Mohammed MoussaDjoulde amadou bah
69′Islam Abou SlemmaWilfried Parfait Wilfried Teukeu
73′Mostafa El-BadryAbubakar Liadi
75′Michael EgbembaAhmed Zaki Abdel Hameed
83′Mohamed IbrahimGodwin Chika Okwara
83′Islam AbdallahF. Kouablan
86′Barakat Haggag
90′Saber Ashraf El Shimi
El Gouna FC 31%
Draw 32%
Petrojet 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 2
64 Possession % 36
7 Corners 1
12 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1
0 Saves 3
328 Accurate passes 148

El Gouna FC vs Petrojet overview

Garuda Lions analysis: El Gouna FC vs Petrojet

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEl Gouna FCDrawPetrojet
Model30.8%29.7%39.4%
Market31.2%32.3%36.5%
Final31.1%31.7%37.2%
Edge-0.3%-2.5%+2.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Petrojet

  • The market prices Petrojet below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

El Gouna FC ↓ / Petrojet → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 7% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

El Gouna FC and Petrojet expected goals

El Gouna FC 1.14
Petrojet 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.45

El Gouna FC and Petrojet attack and defence ratings

El Gouna FC

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Petrojet

Attack 1.40 +40%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

El Gouna FC vs Petrojet: result vs prediction

El Gouna FC 1 – 2 Petrojet

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

El Gouna FC vs Petrojet markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Petrojet 37.2% 2.68 +2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.6% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.0% 1.96 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 68.9% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.6% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2El Gouna FC31.1%
Draw31.7%
Petrojet37.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.4%
Under 2.555.6%
Both teams to scoreYes51.0%
No49.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.8%
12 (either side)68.3%
X2 (draw or away)68.9%
Handicap -1Petrojet win18.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss60.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-110.0%
0-09.9%

El Gouna FC vs Petrojet stats

El Gouna FC and Petrojet recent form

newest first
El Gouna FC LLDDWW
Petrojet WLLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

El Gouna FC vs Petrojet head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5El Gouna FC wins 2Draws 3Petrojet wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-28PetrojetEl Gouna FCEgypt Premier League1-2
2026-01-06El Gouna FCPetrojetLeague Cup1-3
2025-09-17El Gouna FCPetrojetEgypt Premier League1-1
2025-04-06PetrojetEl Gouna FCLeague Cup1-0
2024-12-26PetrojetEl Gouna FCPremier League1-0
2019-02-28El Gouna FCPetrojetPremier League2-1
2018-09-22PetrojetEl Gouna FCPremier League1-2
2015-06-16El Gouna FCPetrojetPremier League2-1
2014-12-27PetrojetEl Gouna FCPremier League1-1
2012-01-27El Gouna FCPetrojetPremier League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

El Gouna FC vs Petrojet odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.2%, draw 32.3%, away 36.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.99 2.70 2.49
Bet365 2.90 2.80 2.38
BetVictor 2.80 2.90 2.40
Betano 2.92 2.95 2.50
Betfair 2.90 3.00 2.45
Marathonbet 2.91 2.70 2.47
Pinnacle 3.18 2.81 2.65
William Hill 2.90 2.80 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.91 ▼ -0.04
X 2.80 ▲ +0.03
2 2.48 ▼ -0.06

13 snapshots recorded, from .